Colorado Avalanche vs. San Jose Sharks Free Pick 5/8/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-08

The San Jose Sharks and the Colorado Avalanche square off in a winner-take-all Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis. The game gets going at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 8, and you can view this Western Conference matchup live on NBC Sports Network.

Colorado Avalanche vs. San Jose Sharks Odds

Colorado (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to San Jose (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The odds for betting that total sit at -120 money on the over and even money (+100) on the under.

The Sharks are 53-42 straight up (SU) and have earned 10.4 units for moneyline bettors this year. Of its 95 games this season, 54 have gone over the total, while 37 have gone under and just four have pushed. The team is 30-18 SU at home this year.

San Jose’s offensive attack attempted 32.9 shots per game in the regular season, leading to 3.5 goals per outing (ranked second overall in the NHL). In the playoffs, the team’s attempting an average of 32.1 shots on goal 3.1 goals per game.

After producing the sixth-strongest power-play unit in the regular season (converting 23.1 percent of all chances), the Sharks have connected on 20.0 percent of their power plays in the postseason. Their penalty kill has gone from 80.6 percent in the regular season to 79.6 percent in the playoffs.

Sporting a .899 save percentage and 24.8 saves per game, Martin Jones (44-31-6) has been the principal goalkeeper for the Sharks this season. If head coach Peter Deboer chooses to give him a rest, however, the Sharks may turn to Aaron Dell (11-16-16 record, .884 save percentage, 3.19 goals against average).

The Sharks will continue relying on offensive production from Brent Burns and Tomas Hertl. Burns (95 points) is up to 21 goals and 74 assists and has recorded two or more points 26 times this year. Hertl has 43 goals and 43 assists to his credit and has recorded at least one point in 56 games.

Colorado has lost 9.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and is currently 45-48 straight up (SU). A total of 46 of its outings have gone under the total, while 44 have gone over and just three have pushed. Colorado’s 20-27 SU as the away team this season.

Colorado has converted on 21.1 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 25th overall and it’s successfully killed off 79.1 percent of all opponent power plays.

Colorado’s players have been penalized 4.0 times per game in total this season, and 3.2 per game over their last five games. The team has been forced to kill penalties just 6.4 minutes per game over their last five outings.

Semyon Varlamov (27.8 saves per game) has been the primary option in the net for Colorado. Varlamov owns a 20-29-9 record, and has registered a .909 save percentage and 2.87 goals against average this year.

Nathan MacKinnon (47 goals, 65 assists) will pace the attack for the visiting Avalanche.

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks Free Picks

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Avalanche, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

Colorado has managed 30.6 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while San Jose is averaging 35.4 shots per game over its last five home outings.

Power-play chances may be even more critical than usual in the outcome of this game. The Avalanche are 21-20 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 28-29 when they serve fewer than 10 penalty minutes, in total. The Sharks are 24-18 when the team serves fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 39-24 in games where total penalty minutes are in the single digits.

San Jose has averaged 12.8 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 9.3 takeaways per game (ranked 5th in the NHL).

Colorado is ranked 26th in the NHL this season with 7.0 takeaways per game. That figure has trended higher, as the team has averaged 11.0 takeaways over its last 10 games and 10.2 takeaways over its last five.

San Jose could hold the upper hand if it’s a close one late. The team’s 21-16 in games decided by one goal, while Colorado is only 13-23 in such games.

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