Last Updated: 2019-01-01
A little bit strange to begin writing the final three college football articles of the season, and I’ll start with the College Total Play of the Week, our lone losing play this past week after winning both of Monday’s plays to help offset an otherwise dismal run. The College System Play of the Week and the College Pick of the Week will be posted later today, but wanted to get this one up first since it’s the lone New Year’s Day game, with the two championship games – don’t forget about Eastern Washington and North Dakota State playing for the FCS title Saturday – making up our remaining plays.
For this one, we’ll take a look at the game between Georgia and Texas, where the Bulldogs are favored by 12 and the total is 58.5.
The Bulldogs may have a tough time getting up for this game after leading Alabama in the SEC championship contest, only to see the Tide roar back for the victory. While the Sugar Bowl is one of the better bowl games, it’s not what Georgia was thinking before the season began or even a month ago for that matter.
The Bulldogs averaged 39 points a game behind a powerful rushing attack that averaged 251 yards and 6.1 yards per carry. Georgia is actually one of the better passing teams around, but it’s the running game that opens things up through the air, as the ‘Dawgs completed 68.6% of their passes for a 9.2 yards per attempt average. The Bulldogs were a better offensive team at home, but weren’t as good defensively away from home, where their points allowed went from 18.5 overall to 25.2 on the road. The Bulldogs are better than average against the run and the pass.
The Longhorns averaged 31.3 points per game and rush the ball more than they throw, but gain twice as many yards per pass attempt as they do per rushing attempt. Texas was pretty balanced between home and away scoring, while the defense wasn’t quite as good away from home.
Texas played nearly all of its games on turf this season, while Georgia played the majority of games on grass, so the change in surface might add a little speed to the Bulldogs and help the rushing game, while defending the run is the Longhorns’ defensive strength.
Both teams may be forced to throw more than usual, due to the opposing defense being tough against the run, and since both teams are more than adequate at throwing the ball, will go ahead and take this one to go over the total of 58.5.
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