College Football System Pick Week 11
- Updated: November 8, 2013
When Syracuse defeated Wake Forest last weekend 13-0 there wasn’t a lot of conversation about the game, which was contested between two average football teams. But for bettors, the Orangemen’s victory was something unique, as it broke the winning streak of a system that had been on a 14-0 run and hadn’t suffered a loss since Oct. 3, 2009.
The system was a perfect 8-0 between 2010 and 2012 and started off 5-0 in 2013 before Syracuse brought its winning streak to an abrupt end. The college football system is simply to wager against any home team that lost its last game by 56 or more points.
Going back to the start of the 2005 season, the system would be 21-7, essentially meaning that it was a 50-50 proposition until going on its four-year undefeated stretch. But its recent record is simply too much to ignore, particularly when you consider that this week’s play also has several other factors in its favor.
Last week, Purdue faced an Ohio State team that needed to win in impressive fashion and the Buckeyes certainly did so, blasting the Boilermakers by a final score of 56-0. Ohio State jumped out to a 42-0 halftime lead and out-gained Purdue 640 to 116. Now, Purdue is at home once again and this week are facing an Iowa squad that is in desperate need of a victory to assure themselves of being bowl eligible. Iowa sits at 5-4, but has games with Michigan and Nebraska remaining and neither of those games will be an easy victory.
It’s also a revenge game for the Hawkeyes, who lost to Purdue last year 27-24, as the Boilermakers kicked the game-winning field goal on the last play of the game. Iowa is coming off a hard-fought 28-9 loss to Wisconsin—after trailing just 7-6 at halftime—and should be able to get the cover against a Purdue squad that has lost four of its last five games by 31 or more points.