Last Updated: 2018-12-06
We’re 8-6 with our College Pick of the Week and this week we’ll be looking at the North Dakota State and Colgate. The Bison are favored by 25 at 5Dimes and the total on the game is just 41.5, a testament to the two defenses who will be playing in this game. Colgate had five shutouts this season, while the Bison held foes to 12 points per game during the season.
North Dakota State is better offensively, averaging 42.1 points to 29.5 for Colgate, and the Bison have played a tougher schedule than the Raiders, as well. Just how good is South Dakota State? USA Today’s Jeff Sagarin has the Bison ranked No. 24 in the country, ahead of the likes of Miami, Fla., NC State, Boise State and Oregon. Colgate is ranked No. 105, sandwiched between SMU and Navy.
Colgate won its playoff game 23-20 over James Madison to get here, but it wasn’t the most impressive around, as JMU threw five interceptions in the game and Colgate still needed a final-play field goal to get the home victory. James Madsion out-gained Colgate 392 to 330, gaining 200 yards on the ground and JMU isn’t nearly as good as the Bison at rushing the ball.
James Madison sacked the quarterback four times and North Dakota State is better up front than JMU, so giving Grant Brenaman time to throw isn’t going to be an easy task. Colgate would rather run the ball, but the Bison are solid stopping the run, allowing just 3.1 yards per carry, so the Raiders are going to have to throw the ball some as Colgate isn’t a great rushing team, gaining 4.5 yards per carry and this is a game where they won’t be able to let their defense handle things, as North Dakota State is the best offense they’ve seen all season.
For the season, North Dakota State has just nine turnovers, while Colgate has been pretty solid in that regard with just 10 themselves.
Colgate’s victory last week is sure to have gotten the attention of North Dakota State and while championships are how the team measures itself, they’ should be plenty focused for the Raiders, which is going to spell trouble for Colgate.
It’s not easy laying this many points against a solid defense like Colgate, but they haven’t seen a team nearly as good as the Bison and North Dakota State has beaten teams better than the Raiders, so will lay the points in this one.
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