Wake Forest at No. 22 North Carolina State – College Football Free Betting Pick 11/8/2018

 
Thursday, 11/08/2018 at 07:30 pm WAKE FOREST (4-5) at NC STATE (6-2)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
109WAKE FOREST 69 32.3 37.2 4-5 2-7-0 6-3-0 226.2 229 455.2 220.8 272.8 493.6
110NC STATE -18 32.5 25.5 6-2 4-4-0 4-3-0 134.1 322.9 457 91.6 306.4 398

Last Updated: 2018-11-06

Two schools that like to run the football, Head Coach Dave Clawson and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+17) are set to face off against the No. 22 North Carolina State Wolfpack (-17) at Carter-Finley Stadium. ESPN is scheduled to broadcast the action and this conference matchup gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Wake Forest vs. No. 22 North Carolina State Betting Odds

North Carolina State is giving up 17 points in this ACC matchup. The Demon Deacons are currently getting +780 moneyline odds while the Wolfpack are -1400. The over/under is set at 66.5 points. If one side finds paydirt early, it would probably create a nice live betting opportunity.

Sharp bettors are siding with the Pack. The opening line was originally -15 while the game’s total was initially pegged at 66.

The Demon Deacons are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against ACC opponents. The Wolfpack are 6-2 SU overall and 3-2 SU in conference play. The Demon Deacons are 2-7 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.6 units so far in 2018. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 6-3.

The Wolfpack have gained 2.7 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-3.

When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Wake Forest knocked Wake Forest off by a pair of field goals 30-24.

The Demon Deacons fell to Syracuse 41-24 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Orange to eat up the clock by rushing for 264 yards on 60 attempts, including five rush TDs. Eric Dungey had a productive day for the Orange in that one with 119 rushing yards and a score on 24 attempts. Offensively, Sam Hartman completed only 21 passes on 37 attempts for 275 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Hartman (51 yards on 19 rush attempts) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Matt Colburn II (67 yards on 15 carries). Greg Dortch (nine receptions, 95 yards, one TD) and Alex Bachman (three catches, 47 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

North Carolina State is coming off of a 47-28 win over Florida State. The defensive secondary allowed the Seminoles to air it out for 421 yards and four touchdowns. Tamorrion Terry was a bright spot in the loss, posting 142 yards and two touchdowns on five catches for Florida State. For North Carolina State, Ryan Finley completed 21-of-27 passes for 240 yards and three touchdowns. Reggie Gallaspy (106 rushing yards on 21 attempts) and Ricky Person (42 yards on 17 carries, two TDs) mounted the running game while Jakobi Meyers (nine receptions, 125 yards, one TD) and Kelvin Harmon (four catches, 37 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Wake Forest has run the ball on 58.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while North Carolina State has a rush percentage of 50.2 percent. The Demon Deacons have rushed for 224 yards per game (including 219 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 15 scores on the ground this year. The Pack are totaling 134 rushing yards per contest (150 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Pack might have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has yielded just four sacks while the D-line has registered 25 sacks. The Demon Deacons O-line has given up 23 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 17 times.

The Deacs have averaged 229 yards through the air overall (212 per game versus conference opposition) and have 16 passing scores so far. The Pack have produced 323 pass yards per outing (294.2 in the ACC) and also have 16 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Wake Forest appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 221 rush yards and 273 pass yards per game. North Carolina State has allowed 91.6 yards per game on the ground and 306.4 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Deacs have given up an ANY/A of 7.32 to opposing QBs, while the Pack are allowing an ANY/A of 7.06.

Hartman is up to 1,761 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 145-of-267 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Hartman has a 5.35 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.46 over the last two games.

For the home team, Ryan Finley has put up 2,017 yards, 13 TDs and five INTs. Finley’s ANY/A stands at 8.10 for the year and 10.86 across his past two outings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack Free Pick

SU Winner – North Carolina State, ATS Winner – North Carolina State, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Demon Deacons offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wolfpack have accounted for seven such plays.

The Wake Forest defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while North Carolina State has given up eight such plays.

The Wake Forest offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while North Carolina State has created seven such runs.

The Demon Deacons defense has allowed 20 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wolfpack have given up seven such runs.

The North Carolina State D has registered 25 sacks on the year while Wake Forest has just 17.

Wake Forest has averaged 4.4 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 5.7 over its last two.

North Carolina State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.1 over its last two.

In its last three matches, North Carolina State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Wake Forest’s last game going into it was 78. The under cashed in the team’s 41-24 loss to Syracuse.

Over its last three matches, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for North Carolina State’s previous game going into it was 51.5. The over cashed in the team’s 47-28 victory over Florida State.

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