College Football Consensus Week 4 Pick
- Updated: September 19, 2012
It is week four of the college football season and the games are getting better as conference play as started. With conference comes big upsets as noted last week when USC was dumped out of the top of the rankings by a scrappy Stanford team. Finding these upsets are not always easy, but using the consensus report is a good place and if read correctly it could help uncover some upsets.
Every week here are at Bang the Book we take a look at the football consensus report and try to uncover some big winners that will pad your bankroll.
This week it’s time to use the consensus to uncover some upsets. Upsets happen every week, but it’s rare that the underdog wins outright when they are double digit underdogs of huge proportions. That is why the Louisiana-Monroe win over Arkansas was so big. The Warhawks were 30 point favorites and the Razorbacks were a huge consensus play. A quick look at a huge favorite will reveal a similar trend.
This week Michigan State hosts Eastern Michigan and they are 33-point favorites. The Spartans are clearly the better team and because of this they are getting 64 percent of the betting action. The public is betting on the Spartans considering the loss a week ago and that no one knows anything about Eastern Michigan. That kind of blind betting could get you into some serious trouble.
Picking Eastern Michigan to head into East Lansing and beat Michigan State is a tall order, but it is very conceivable that they could keep this within 33 points. Too often football betting players will just look at big chalk and assume it’s big for a reason. After all, Michigan State should beat Eastern Michigan by 33 points that is why the line is so high right? Don’t be too sure, Arkansas was over confident and look at what happened to them.