College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 6
- Updated: October 3, 2012
When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 6. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0: The number of games that the Mississippi State Bulldogs have lost against teams that didn’t ultimately finish the season with at least eight wins since Head Coach Dan Mullen took over. That’s right. The Bulldogs, who have a whopping 17 losses since the start of the 2009 season, have never lost to a team that didn’t finish with at least eight wins that year. That tells us a few things. First off, the SEC is awfully tough. Secondly, the Bulldogs have been darn good in their own right. Mullen is a genius of a head coach, and he has won some of these big time games as well. This week though, is another one of these games against a team that stands no chance of winning eight games. Watch out, Kentucky. There’s a reason that you’re a 10-point underdog.
4.0: The number of points that the Utah Utes have been outscored by against the USC Trojans over the course of the three all-time meetings between the two teams. That margin would have been a heck of a lot closer if not for the blocked field goal last year that was returned for a touchdown when these two teams met in Los Angeles. In fact, Utah probably would have won that game had that kick gotten off the ground, as it would have forced overtime. Instead, USC won the game and covered it, causing a ruckus in Vegas with which team deservingly covered the spread. Utah does have a win from the 2001 Las Vegas Bowl against the Men of Troy, and they also have a cover as well from the 1993 Freedom Bowl, a 28-21 loss as 17-point underdogs.
6: The number of teams that can achieve bowl eligibility this week if they win. OF course, either the Georgia Bulldogs or the South Carolina Gamecocks will certainly become bowl eligible at 6-0, while the loser will still be a game away. But the other teams that can become eligible include the Oregon Ducks, LSU Tigers, Ohio Bobcats, and Northwestern Wildcats. All but Ohio are ranked in the Top 25 in the land, though we know that the Bobcats will probably get into the rankings at some point because their schedule is so weak. Just in case you were wondering, the 5-0 Ohio State Buckeyes are ineligible for the postseason, while the 5-0 Florida State Seminoles would still technically be a win away since they played two FCS teams this year.
7: The number of consecutive games that the Georgia Bulldogs have failed to cover as underdogs. They’re going to be “Dawgs” once again in this game against the South Carolina Gamecocks on the road, and many think that they are going to be able to pull off the upset. After all, the sportsbooks are favoring South Carolina by just a deuce, which implies that they think UGA is the better team by at least a point and a half or two. Still, that’s an ugly, ugly ATS trend that is definitely worth considering, knowing that the Bulldogs are rarely good in the underdog position. South Carolina has also covered five in a row at Williams Brice Stadium, where this one is going to be played.
8: The number of consecutive games the Oregon Ducks have beaten the Washington Huskies. These two teams are going to meet on Saturday, and it shouldn’t be considered all that much of a surprise to see the U of O is favored by 24 points. What’s worse for the Huskies in this one is that not only have they lost eight in a row, they’ve also gone just 0-7-1 ATS in those games. It’s an amazingly bad stat and an amazingly bad start to what could be an amazingly bad game for a team that just eked into the Top 25 last week.
17: The number of consecutive regular season games that the LSU Tigers have won. That’s all of them dating back through last year, and it is easily the longest such streak in the entire nation. That streak is threatening to come to a close in the Swamp against the Florida Gators on Saturday, as the men clad in blue and orange are only underdogs by two points. Still, the Bayou Bengals have won two in a row in this series and might be able to get back to the No. 2 slot in the country if they win this game.
20: The number of total rushing yards that the Tulane Green Wave have this year. That’s right. 20. That’s it. 5.0 rushing yards per game. The team’s three quarterbacks haven’t helped matters by losing 91 total yards on the ground, but there isn’t a man that has even 100 rushing yards yet on the team either. What’s worse is that the team accounted for -9 rushing yards on 21 carries last week against the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks. Now up are the other UL school, as the Green Wave pay a visit to the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns. There’s a reason that Tulane is a 24-point underdog.
24.5: The number that represents the largest point spread of the weekend. With the Alabama Crimson Tide not playing, the award goes to the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, who are set to just run right through the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels. This is the smallest number for the biggest point spread of the week all season long, and save for perhaps championship week, you won’t see a number on the board that isn’t bigger than this at least once per week for the rest of the year in all likelihood. However, with the Alabama Crimson Tide taking a week off and everyone except for the Florida State Seminoles and Kansas State Wildcats that are ranked in the Top 10 playing other teams that are ranked or are getting votes for the Top 25, that’s the end result.
40.5: The number of points for the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend. We shouldn’t be surprised that those lousy Connecticut Huskies are involved once again. UConn has averaged just 323.8 yards per game this year, and that’s after dropping 372 on the Massachusetts Minutemen, the worst team at the FBS level this year in Week 1. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights, a team built upon running the ball and playing good defense is up next, and that should make for a great battle between two teams that are hoping to do well in the Big East this year and contend for a spot in the BCS.
75: The number of points for the highest ‘total’ of the weekend. Ironically, we’re not talking about the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers and the Texas Longhorns, which is notable considering the fact that WVU and the Baylor Bears just put up 133 points in an AFL-style game that featured 1,507 yards of offense. No, instead, we’re talking about the game between the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Clemson Tigers. These two teams can run up and down the field as well, and we should see plenty of stats for WR Sammy Watkins, QB Tajh Boyd, WR DeAndre Hopkins, RB Andre Ellington, and QB Tevin Washington in this one.
441: The number of yards that QB Seth Doege threw for last year for the Texas Tech Red Raiders against the Oklahoma Sooners. Doege led his Red Raiders to the upset in that game in Norman as 29-point underdogs, and that might have been the game that really got T-Tech going in the right direction again. Head Coach Tommy Tuberville might have had his job saved by that game, and now, Doege and the Red Raiders are going to be hosting the Sooners this week in a battle of a pair of teams that think that they can now win the Big XII.
566: The number of passing yards that QB Stephen Morris threw for last week for the Miami Hurricanes against the NC State Wolfpack. The 566 yards was clearly not the best passing performance of the day (we’ll talk about that in a second), but it did set the ACC record for the most passing yards in a single game. Morris and the Canes needed every single one of those yards to beat the Wolfpack in a 44-37 victory, and they’ll need a ton again this week against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in Chicago. The Golden Domers are allowing just 9.0 points per game this year, and they haven’t allowed a touchdown in over eight quarters of play. Notre Dame is favored by a baker’s dozen.
656: The number of passing yards that QB Geno Smith threw for last week against the Baylor Bears. Yes, the West Virginia Mountaineers’ signal caller did it all for his team last week, averaging 12.9 yards per pass attempt, completing 88.2 percent of his passes, and tossing eight TDs, smashing the Big XII passing record book in the process. The problem? The defense allowed 63 points. If the Mountaineers are going to play that poorly defensively, they’re going to get killed by the Texas Longhorns this week in their first ever road game in the Big XII. There’s a reason that Texas is favored by 5.5 points.
1974: The number that represents the last year that the Utah State Aggies beat both the Utah Utes and the BYU Cougars in the same year. That’s a heck of a lot of seasons with at least one loss (and often time, two losses) to your instate rivals – 38 to be exact. Utah State might have the best team in the Beehive State this year though, knowing that QB Chuckie Keeton is the only one of the three quarterbacks from the start of the season on these three Utah teams that is still starting. Keeton and his Aggies are going to get their shot to bust the Beehive State when they take on the BYU Cougars as seven-point underdogs on Friday night.
1994: The number that represents the last year that the Duke Blue Devils were ranked in the Top 25 in the country. Sure, the Dookies still haven’t gotten a vote for the Top 25 quite yet, but they could jump from no votes to all the way into the poll this week with a win over the Virginia Cavaliers and some help. UVA has looked bipolar at times and might be ripe for the picking. QB Sean Renfree and company are favored by a deuce at home against the Cavvies in what might be one of the biggest games that the Blue Devils have played on the gridiron in years.
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