College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 3


When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 3. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!

0: The number of wins that the Colorado Buffaloes and Colorado State Rams had in Week 2. That surely doesn’t seem like all that much of a big deal, as these two teams have lost on the same week time and time again. However, this is notable because they both lost to FCS schools. Yikes. Now, the Buffs and the Rams are going on the road this week to San Jose State and Fresno State respectively, and they are both double digit underdogs. None of these four teams are likely to be bowl clubs this year, and that’s proof of just how far the football in the state of Colorado has fallen over the course of the last several years.

1: The number of covers that the Penn State Nittany Lions and Navy Midshipmen have combined in their last seven games between them. Of course, they also only have that one SU victory as well, and that came in the annual Army/Navy game that the Middies historically dominate and dominate badly. These two teams have been a wreck this year, but one of them is going to have to get their first SU victory of the campaign when they face off in Happy Valley against one another.

7: The number of games in a row that the Florida Gators have beaten the Tennessee Volunteers. Of course, this is a problem that UT has had throughout its history. QB Peyton Manning never did beat Florida, and Head Coach Phillip Fulmer was ultimately booted out the door in Knoxville after his long tenure on Rocky Top because he couldn’t figure out how to top the Gators on a regular basis. Now, it’s Head Coach Derek Dooley that could be feeling the heat if he loses this one, as this is the first time in quite some time that he has had a team that really feels like it has a chance of winning a game in this series.

8.0: The number of that represents the average margin of victory in games for the Michigan State Spartans against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish since 2002. In that stretch, there have been four games decided by just a field goal, and two of the clashes have gone to OT. The most famous of those came just two years ago right here at Spartan Stadium, when Head Coach Mark Dantonio dialed up a fake field goal that went for a touchdown in the play that infamously became known as the “Little Giants” play.

10-5: The numbers that represent the record for the TCU Horned Frogs from an ATS standpoint against Big XII teams since 1997. Yes, TCU has never been afraid to take on the big boys, and its upsets against great teams like the Oklahoma Sooners are why it is now amongst the big boys in the Big XII. This is going to be the first conference game for the Horned Frogs since joining the conference, and they are going to be in for a snoozer for sure. They’re nearly four TD favorites on the road against the Kansas Jayhawks, who are one of the few teams that they haven’t played well against out of this conference in the Head Coach Gary Patterson era.

12: The number of consecutive games that the Troy Trojans have lost to SEC teams. The last time that they have an SEC school came back in 2001 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, the team that happens to be on the docket this coming Saturday. The Trojans have played some teams in this conference tough in those 12 losses though, as they went 8-4 ATS in those games. The most notable ones were probably last year’s 10-point loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks, a 4-point loss to the 2004 LSU Tigers, a 10-point loss to the 2008 Bayou Bengals, and a three point loss in 2002… against none other than Mississippi State. The Bulldogs had better be careful on this road trip to Troy on Saturday night.

13-3: The number representing the ATS record for the Mississippi Rebels out of conference in their last 16 games. This is going to be a heck of a lot more difficult than the average out of conference game, especially the last two in which the Rebs have both won and covered, as the Texas Longhorns are coming to town. Still, Vaught Hemingway Stadium should have a buzz about it in this one, knowing that Ole Miss is going to be playing under the lights on national television against one of the better teams in the country. The opportunity is definitely there to be seized to put this team back on the map and back as a contender in the SEC West, and this is a golden, golden opportunity.

33: The number of consecutive non-conference regular season games that the Wisconsin Badgers had won in a row before losing last week against the Oregon State Beavers. Of course, 33 is also almost the number of total points that the Badgers have scored in two games this year, which is why they are putting in a new offensive system this week for the game against the Utah State Aggies. Don’t think that this is such a sure thing for Wisky to start a new winning streak of non-conference foes. The Badgers have been just downright bad over the course of the last two weeks, and they are playing against a Utah State team that has to be flying high after taking out the Utah Utes last week in the Battle of the Brothers.

37: The number representing the completion percentage that QB Brandon Allen has in his freshman season. The mass majority of those terrible numbers came last week when the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks came to Little Rock and pulled off the massive upset of the Hogs. Now, with QB Tyler Wilson likely sidelined, the freshman’s first start is going to come against Alabama. Yikes. Have fun with that, kid.

42.5: The number that represents the ugliest, lowest ‘total’ of the week in the game between the Connecticut Huskies and the Maryland Terrapins on Saturday. These two teams are just perfect for each other, because they have both played in one of the ugliest games of the entire season. UConn was just beaten 10-7 last week by NC State, and the week before, Maryland had to survive William & Mary 7-6. Needless to say, there isn’t a whole heck of a lot of confidence here for these two teams on the offensive side of the ball.

44: The number that Head Coach Bronco Mendenhall has to have burned into the brains of his BYU Cougars going into this week’s game against the Utah Utes. That’s the number of points that the Utes came on the road and beat BYU by last year in a game that was a romp from the word “go.” Now, BYU has a chance to make amends on the road against QB Jon Hays and the Utes, as QB Jordan Wynn suffered a fourth shoulder injury in the past three years, prompting him to just retire from the game of football rather than soldier on with his squad.

47: The number of points that the Michigan Wolverines are favored by over the Massachusetts Minutemen. Is it justified? Surely, UMass has been a wreck since joining the FBS this year, getting its clocks cleaned by both the Indiana Hoosiers and the aforementioned Huskies, but these teams did meet just two years ago, and the Minutemen actually led the game near halftime and had a chance to win it at the end. On top of that, Michigan has scored just a total of 45 points all season long, and now it has to win by seven full touchdowns just to cover this spread? It seems shoddy to us to say the least.

74: The number that represents the highest ‘total’ of the weekend, as the UCLA Bruins take on the Houston Cougars. Why is this number so high? Because Houston might have the worst defense in the country. The team allowed 86 points in two games against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Texas State Bobcats. On the other side of the field, RB Johnathan Franklin is just running all over the place for the Bruins, and they really look like they are going to put some points on the board this year, something that they just didn’t do enough of with Head Coach Rick Neuheisel calling the shots in LA. Last year when these two played, 72 hit the board, so more will be needed than that, but both of these clubs look a heck of a lot different now than they did then.

287: The number of passing yards per game that the Stanford Cardinal are allowing this year. It’s not that Stanford has allowed so many passing yards that is so alarming. It’s that those numbers have come against the San Jose State Spartans and the Duke Blue Devils. Yes, we know that both of those teams throw the ball around a bit, but they’re not nearly as talented as the USC Trojans, who are coming to “The Farm” on Saturday night. QB Matt Barkley has never beaten the Cardinal, but that might change if this secondary proves to be such a disaster as it has been against significantly lesser opponents in the past.

526: The number of yards per game that the Kansas State Wildcats have averaged against the North Texas Mean Green in their three meetings with the Sun Belt reps since 2005. Of course, two years ago on the road in Denton, the Mean Green really gave KSU a fight, dropping by just eight in a game that really was close the whole way, but aside from that, the games haven’t been close (45-6 KSU in 2007 and 54-7 KSU in 2005). This should be another romp, as North Texas just doesn’t feel like a team that has anything going for it right now against a team that is on fire behind QB Collin Klein.

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Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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