College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 15 & Heisman Trophy Odds
- Updated: December 7, 2012
When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 15. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0: The number of turnovers that QB Johnny Manziel committed this year in the red zone. He had 13 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing touchdowns, and not a single pick or fumble down in close. The Aggies were always one of the most efficient teams in America from inside the 20-yard line, and Manziel was one of the biggest reasons for that.
0: The number of times that a freshman has ever won the Heisman Trophy… Well, at least for the next 24 hours or so. Manziel is almost certainly going to take the honor this week, as he is the -1000 favorite at Bookmaker Sportsbook to claim the honor. It was only a few years ago that a sophomore won the award for the first time, QB Tim Tebow, and that sparked a run of three straight second year men claiming the honor.
1: The number of times that anyone has won the Heisman Trophy twice in his collegiate career. Of course, that distinction goes to RB Archie Griffin of the Ohio State Buckeyes, and you have to go back to 1974 and 1975 to find those two honors. The aforementioned Tebow, QB Sam Bradford, and RB Mark Ingram all had reasonable chances to win the Heisman Trophy twice, but none of them were able to pull off the feat. Now, Manziel is almost certainly going to have three years to claim a second Heisman, and he is surely going to be the favorite going into next season to become the fourth sophomore to ever win the biggest individual honor in collegiate sports.
1: The number of defensive players that have ever won the Heisman Trophy. None have been like LB Manti Te’o, though. At least when DB Charles Woodson won the award in 1997, he had some offensive stats and was a punt and kick returner as well. The argument could be made that the electrifying plays that put points on the board was the reason that Woodson won the Heisman. That’s the same reason that freshman DB Tyrann Mathieu was a Heisman finalist last year. Te’o is purely about his defensive prowess, as he is the top linebacker in the country and led one of the best defenses in the nation as well, and that’s why he is the second favorite on the board to win the Heisman Trophy at +500.
3: The number of interceptions that QB Collin Klein threw in the game against the Baylor Bears this year. If you want to point out a single moment in time when Klein lost the Heisman, that was the moment. It was the only loss of the season for the Kansas State Wildcats, and it was really the only dark cloud that hung over the whole season. Klein only threw seven INTs for the year, but the fact that he played so poorly in the team’s one loss of the season took him out of any serious Heisman Trophy consideration. Klein could be had at as high of a price as 50 to 1 at online sportsbooks across the internet.
6: The number of games this year in which Manziel rushed for at least 100 yards. In the end, he averaged 98.2 rushing yards per game on the campaign, totaling 1,181 yards. Manziel was perhaps most impressive in his biggest games of the season. He rushed for 92 yards on the Alabama Crimson Tide and 129 on the road at the Mississippi State Bulldogs. When his team needed his biggest offensive performance of the year, he responded against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, throwing for 395 yards and rushing for 181 more. There wasn’t anything that this kid couldn’t do with his legs or his arm.
7: The number of interceptions that Te’o had this year for the Fighting Irish. Of course, being just one pick away from leading the nation in interceptions helped Te’o quite a bit this year, especially knowing that the next closest linebacker was LB Kiko Alonso with the Oregon Ducks, who had just four picks. However, what really got Te’o here to the Big Apple was the fact that he had so many massive stops, including having a hand in the goal line stand that helped beat the USC Trojans and the one where RB Stepfan Taylor was held short of the end zone in overtime when the Stanford Cardinal came to South Bend.
10: The number of consecutive times that Navy has beaten Army. The poor Cadets are getting closer year by year, as they have gone from losing by 35 points in 2007 down to 34 in 2008, 14 in 2009, 14 in 2010, and just six points last year. Still, it is clear that the Midshipmen are the better of these two teams, and it would be relatively surprising to see any result aside from a victory for the Naval Academy in one of the proudest rivalry games that the country has to offer.
15: The number of years that it has been since Army won the Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy. Since that point, Navy has won it seven times and Air Force has won it eight times. This time around, either Army or Navy will be claiming the honor, as Air Force was beaten by both teams. The last time that this game was for the Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy was back in 2005, a game that the Middies won 42-23. The last time Army won this game with the Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy on the line was the last time it won the honor in 1996. This would actually only be the seventh time that the Black Knights beat both Air Force and Navy in the same season since the award was created in 1972. Ironically, Army won that first Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy.
38.5: The number of points per game that the Army/Navy game has produced over the course of the last six years. There hasn’t been a game in the bunch with more than 48 scored, but those two games at least came in the last two years. The 21 points that Army scored in last year’s clash at FedEx Field marked just one of the two times in this series that it has scored more than 17 points in this series since 2001. That’s why it seems a bit absurd that the ‘total’ in this one is all the way up to 56.5 at some online sportsbooks.
44: The number of rushing touchdowns that Army QB Trent Steelman has in his career. That’s the most touchdowns that a member of the Black Knights has scored in a career. This week is the end for Steelman though, as he is playing in his final game. The four-year starter has never beaten Navy, though he has been a big part of the reason why Army is getting closer and closer as the seasons wear on.
62.3: The number of passing yards per game that the Middies have had in this series over the course of the last 10 years. Of course, when you’re playing triple option football, you know that you’re going to run the ball a ton and throw it just a small number of times. Ironically though, in 2011, Navy had more passing yards (186) than rushing yards (139) thanks to the fact that then QB Ricky Dobbs hit a 77-yard TD and a 32-yard TD through the air in the same game.
76.3: The number representing the completion percentage for Johnny Football over the course of his last four games of the season. See, this isn’t just a one-trick pony by any stretch of the imagination, as Manziel beat teams with his arm as well. The completion percentage and the fact that he had eight passing touchdowns in those four games, one of which came against Alabama, was incredibly impressive. Manziel also had a quarterback rating of at least 155.9 in each of his last five games of the year, and there aren’t many quarterbacks in the country that can say that they had any five games with at least a QB rating of 150.
77: The number of total touchdowns that Klein came up with over the course of his last two years. We’ve known for quite some time that Klein had the potential to be a remarkable quarterback at this level, and though he clearly isn’t going to work in the pros as a quarterback, Head Coach Bill Snyder should be proud of the way that his senior is going out. Klein needs five rushing touchdowns to tie QB Colin Kaepernick and QB Eric Crouch for the most rushing scores by a quarterback in a career in the history of college football.
193.7: The quarterback rating that Johnny Football had this year when facing third downs. That was easily the best mark in the country on third downs, and no one really even remotely challenged him. Manziel went 51-of-74 for 762 yards with 11 TDs and four INTs on third down, and he rushed for 498 yards and nine scores on this down as well.
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