College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 12
- Updated: November 16, 2012
When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 12. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
-15: The number of rushing yards that the Florida State Seminoles had last week against the Virginia Tech Hokies. Why is that so notable? Because the Noles still rank 27th in the country in total rushing at 209.7 yards per game, a number that is skewed by the fact that not even three quarters were played against the Savannah State Tigers either. Put back in that quarter and a half, and FSU was averaging essentially 230.4 yards per game on the ground. It was clearly the most remarkable stat that came out of Week 11, and we would be remiss not to include it in this week’s “By the Numbers.”
1: The number of wins that the UCLA Bruins have over the USC Trojans since 1998. The Bruins were beaten 50-0 last year when these two teams played, one of the more brutal beatings that this series has ever seen. However, UCLA went on to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game the very next week. The Bruins can win the Pac-12 South outright this year with a win in this game, but a loss would set up the much anticipated rematch of Oregon and USC in the Pac-12 Championship Game at Autzen Stadium.
5: The number of games this week that feature ‘totals’ ranging between 73 and 74.5. Instead of picking just one game to highlight this week, we picked them all to look at as the highest ‘totals’ of the weekend. Utah State and Louisiana Tech are one of the two 73 games, while Texas Tech and Okie State also have a number set at 73. The other three games all have ‘totals’ of 74.5, and those games include Oklahoma at West Virginia, Kansas State at Baylor, and Houston at Marshall. That last game of the bunch might be the most interesting, knowing that it involves the nation’s leading passer, QB Rakeem Cato.
7: The number of teams in the SEC that scheduled games against FCS opponents this week. This is a practice that we normally hate to see, as the games are nothing but just freebee victories and another chance to get a gate for a game. However, in the SEC, we know that it is really a necessity, knowing that the road to get to this point in the season is just brutal. Case in point? Every team has at least one loss on the campaign, and all but three teams have at least two. All of the SEC teams are favored by at least 31.5 over their FCS foes, save of course for the lowly Auburn Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats, who are favored by 27.5 and 12.5 in their games respectively.
7: The number of wins in conference play that the Clemson Tigers have logged this year. That makes them a perfect 7-for-7 this year, and they’re 8-0 ATS dating back to last season in conference tussles. The last team to cover Clemson in the ACC? None other than this very North Carolina State Wolfpack team that happens to be waiting on deck on Saturday afternoon. The Wolfpack knocked off Clemson 37-13 last year on the road in the ACC finale, but that didn’t change the fact that the Tigers were still able to play in the ACC Championship Game. The odds are slim that Clemson will be back this year, as it needs a win and a Maryland upset over Florida State just to get to Charlotte.
31: The number of points that the Florida State Seminoles are favored by over the Maryland Terrapins. With respect to just FBS vs. FBS teams, this is the biggest spread of the weekend, and it is certainly warranted. Florida State is expected to roll to the ACC Atlantic Division crown this week in College Park, as the Terrapins are still deploying the “Wild Crab,” basically the only formation that they can run with a linebacker that is playing the quarterback position for the rest of the year. This one won’t likely be pretty in any way, shape, or form.
42: The number of points for the lowest ‘total’ on the board this weekend. That distinction goes to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, who are expected to really have a tough time scoring in this one. The over/under for Wake Forest is just nine points, a number that might be tough to reach against a Notre Dame defense that has been one of the best in America over the course of the entire season, especially here in front of the watchful eyes of Touchdown Jesus.
45.5: The number of points per game that the Tennessee Volunteers have allowed in their last six games. They are just 1-5 SU and ATS in those outings. The only cover came against the South Carolina Gamecocks, but the only SU victory of the six came against the Troy Trojans, and even that was a struggle. That’s why Head Coach Derek Dooley is on his way out at this point, and it’s also why the boys from Rocky Top need to win their last two games of the year if they are even going to think about making it to a bowl game this year. As soon as UT gets that seventh loss, we have to think that Dooley will formally be dismissed.
51.5: The number of points that the Alabama Crimson Tide are favored by over the Western Carolina Catamounts. That’s the third biggest point spread that we have seen in a game all year long pitting FBS and FCS teams against each other, but the other two games both involved the lowly Savannah State Tigers.
56: The number of teams that are eligible for a bowl game coming into this week. There are still 14 more slots that need to be filled just to fill up the bowl allotment this year, and it is likely that a lot of those slots will be filled this weekend. Still, with so many eligible teams like Ohio State, Penn State, and North Carolina not going bowling this year, and the possibility that Miami will make itself ineligible, the six teams that will all finish with at least eight wins in the MAC and the five teams that will likely finish with at least seven wins in the Sun Belt have to be smiling about their prospects of going bowling this year.
75.7: The number of points per game combined that the Oregon Ducks and Stanford Cardinal have scored against each other over the course of the last seven meetings. All seven games exceeded the ‘total’, and most have sailed ‘over’ with flying colors. Last year for example, these teams combined for over 750 yards of offense and 83 points, while the year before, there were also 83 points and over 1,100 yards. Expect this to be another shootout on tap on Saturday night in arguably the biggest game of the weekend.
201: The number of passing yards that the Utah State Aggies have accounted for over the course of the last two games against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. It’s going to take a heck of a lot more than that in just one game, and perhaps even just one half to keep up with what La Tech is bringing to the table on Saturday night in Ruston in what likely will amount to be the de facto WAC Championship Game.
383.2: The number of yards per game that the Ole Miss Rebels have put up on the LSU Tigers over the course of the last five meetings in this series. This is a big time matchup this week, and it is a very underrated and very dangerous game for the Bayou Bengals. They always look forward to their annual game with the Arkansas Razorbacks right after Thanksgiving, and this is a look ahead spot in the biggest of senses. Perhaps the Rebs can steal one, which is something that they need to do if they are going to get to a bowl game this year.
394.8: The number of yards per game that QB Nick Florence is averaging per game this year. Why is that notable? Because that’s right around 10 yards per game more than QB Robert Griffin III averaged last year in his Heisman Trophy winning season for the Baylor Bears. Baylor is in a great spot this week at home against the Kansas State Wildcats, the No. 1 team in the country, and if there were ever a time for the Bears to put themselves on the map with a victory against the top rated team in the land, this would be the time, though it clearly isn’t going to be an easy game to win by any stretch of the imagination.
947.2: The number of yards per game that the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Texas Tech Red Raiders have averaged against each other over the course of the last 10 years. In that stretch, there have been a ton of high scoring results, as the average total number of points has been just 64.8 points per game. Of course, we have to remember though, that six of the last eight have failed to reach the ‘total’, and that could be the case once again this week, knowing that this ‘total’ is one of the highest of the weekend at 73.