College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 10


When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 10. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!

0: The number of times that the Louisville Cardinals have ever been 9-0 in their school’s history. The Cards can (and should) snap that this week when they take on the Temple Owls, a team that they are favored over by a huge margin at home at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium. The last time these two teams met, the end result was a 62-0 shellacking in favor of the ‘Ville, and the hope is for a similar outcome on Saturday afternoon.

1: The number of total touchdowns that the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers scored against each other last year in two games played. The Tide scored that touchdown when matters were all said and done with effective in the National Championship Game last year, and that means that we could be in for another great showdown of a defensive struggle on Saturday night. Remember that LSU didn’t even get past midfield over the course of the whole National Championship Game against that stout Alabama defense, let alone scoring a point.

1: The number of teams in the Big Ten Legends Division that have a winning record from an ATS standpoint. The Northwestern Wildcats are 8-1 ATS to show for their first nine games this year, and they are doing a great job for bettors. The rest of the five teams in the division are just 17-24 ATS combined. There is no doubt that top to bottom, this is the better of the two divisions in the Big Ten, but it clearly isn’t something that you want to tell college football betting fans right now.

1: The number of teams in the nation that are 9-0 with the chance to move to 10-0 this year. Ironically, the team that has that 9-0 mark is the Ohio State Buckeyes, who won’t have a chance to play in a bowl game this year thanks to their bowl ban. In another year, the Bucks would probably be ranked in the Top 5 in the BCS right now and could be on their way to the National Championship Game. As it is though, this just isn’t the case, though it shouldn’t take anything away from what OSU has been able to do on the field with this group of men this year.

4: The number of wins that the Kansas State Cyclones are away from the BCS National Championship Game. This was about the point last year that the Oklahoma State Cowboys started getting their national attention before they finally cracked down the stretch, and this could be what ultimately happens to Kansas State as well. QB Collin Klein is going to try to make sure that doesn’t happen, but lo and behold, who is the team that is on the other side of the field this weekend in Manhattan? None other than these Cowboys.

4.25: The number representing the average margin of victory in the last four games between the Pittsburgh Panthers and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The Golden Domers are favored by three scores in this one, but it’s going to be tough to see how that happens, especially knowing how close all of the games have been for them at home this year, most of which have come against significantly underachieving teams. The Panthers have played better since starting off at 0-2 in terrible form, and they could be ripe for the upset for sure.

7: The number of points that the Texas A&M Aggies are favored by over the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Now, that isn’t particularly notable, because there are a ton of teams that are favored by a touchdown over the other. However, it isn’t all that often that you see a team that is favored by a touchdown on the road… with a worse record… and a worse ranking… this deep into the season… in the SEC. That’s what makes this one oh so special, especially for a first year team in the SEC at that.

13: The number of consecutive games that the Oklahoma Sooners have won over the Iowa State Cyclones. That figures to continue this weekend when OU and ISU hook up again at Jack Trice Stadium, but if there were ever a game in which an upset could happen, this would be the one. Oklahoma is coming off of a brutal game in which it was beaten down physically by the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and it could be caught napping in what should be a significantly easier game.

33.0: The number of points per game that the Duke Blue Devils have been beaten by when they have taken on teams that were once ranked in the Top 15 in the nation this year. Against the rest of the nation, Duke is 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS, but this week is another one of those Top 15 games against the Clemson Tigers, though at least it is the first of these games that is going to be played here at Wallace Wade Stadium. This would be the biggest win for the Dookies in quite some time, and it would ensure that they control their own destiny for the ACC Championship Game for the rest of the year if they could pull off the upset.

33.5: The number of points that the Fresno State Bulldogs are favored by this weekend against the Hawaii Warriors. That makes Fresno the biggest favorite on the board, and for good reason. QB Derek Carr is one of the best statistical quarterbacks in the nation, and he has 26 TDs against just five picks to show for his work this year. In all likelihood, he’ll have at least 30 scores and probably still just five INTs when this week’s game is said and done with, as this one really shouldn’t be all that close.

41.5: The number of points represented on the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend. To no one’s surprise, that’s the number on the board for the LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide, who last year in two games combined for a grand total of just 36 points. These are still two of the most ferocious defenses in America, and in Baton Rouge at night, there is no doubt whatsoever that this will once again be another fantastic defensive showdown.

72.5: The number of points represented on the highest ‘total’ of the weekend. This ‘total’ features the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners. Not only is this a testament to just how good the La Tech offense is, but it is showing how bad and not ready for the big time FBS football UTSA really is. The team has allowed a total of 100 points in the last two weeks, and with this one being played in Ruston and the Bulldogs still trying to get some style points for the sake of the BCS, the Roadrunners might be giving up 100 just THIS week.

88: The number of points that the Arizona State Sun Devils have allowed over the course of their last two games. To put that in comparison, in their first six, they allowed a total of 85 points. This is supposedly one of the best defenses in the Pac-12, and the team is going to have to show it this week on the road against the Oregon State Beavers, who figure to be slipping badly down the stretch after potentially starting down the slippery slope with last week’s loss to the Washington Huskies.

211.1: The number of yards per game that the Iowa State Cyclones have been outgained by against the Oklahoma Sooners over the course of the last seven years. ISU hasn’t logged more than 269 yards in any of those games, and it has allowed at least 613 twice. Heck, there was one game back in 2002 when the Sooners held the Cyclones to just 60 total yards of offense. Iowa State is obviously going to need its best offensive effort in over a decade against the Sooners to have a chance of beating them on Saturday afternoon.

1,074: The number of yards that the USC Trojans allowed to the Oregon Ducks over the course of the last two seasons. In those games, the Trojans did end up getting at least one upset out of it, but the way that this offense for the U of O has just steamrolled right over USC has been remarkable. We’ll have to see what happens on Saturday, but we wouldn’t bet against the No. 4 team in the land ultimately putting up at least 500 more yards and at least another 40 points or so.

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Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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