College Football Betting By the Numbers: Week 1


When you bet on NCAA Football, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NCAA football betting lines for Week 1. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!

0: The number of points that the Virginia Tech Hokies gave up against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the final 19:29 of their game in Atlanta last year. Now, with 10 returning starters on that defense back and the whole offseason to prepare for the triple options, the Ramblin’ Wreck could be in some trouble on Labor Day night.

1-11-1: The number that’s the ATS record for the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last 13 games as double digit home favorites. That bodes well for the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, but what doesn’t bode so well for the C-USA reps is that they basically have to field an entirely new team this year, as they field just 10 returning starters from last year’s squad.

2: The number of covers that the Auburn Tigers have against ACC teams in their last 10 tries. In that includes just a 1-3 ATS mark in four games against the Clemson Tigers, who will be their foe to start off the season. Of course, two is also the number of covers that Clemson has in its last nine games played at neutral sites. It could be a fine Saturday night soiree at the Georgia Dome between these two.

4: The number of teams playing in their first game as FBS teams. The Massachusetts Minutemen don’t figure to have all that much of a chance against the Connecticut Huskies, while the Texas State Bobcats should get crushed by the Houston Cougars. Either the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners or the South Alabama Jaguars have to get their first ever FBS win though, because they are playing each other to start off the campaign.

8: The number of players for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish that are going to miss Saturday’s game in Dublin against the Navy Midshipmen. Four, including starting QB Tommy Rees and starting RB Cierre Wood have been suspended by Head Coach Brian Kelly. Yet Notre Dame is still laying 15.5 against a team that it dominated for nearly five decades until 2007 when the Middies claimed their first win in this generation against the Golden Domers.

9: The number of consecutive covers that the Baylor Bears have in this series against the SMU Mustangs. Sure, that dates back to 1989, and there were a lot of dark years in there for the Mustangs, but that’s definitely a notable trend to watch. Baylor is favored by 10 against SMU on Sunday.

11: The number of meetings that the Marshall Thundering Herd and the West Virginia Mountaineers have played all-time. 11 is also the number of losses that Marshall has in this series. This is the last time that these two teams are scheduled to play, and it might be their last meeting ever. The Herd will want to prove their point, and they do at least have covers in four of the last six meetings against the ‘Neers.

22: The number of consecutive opening games that the Florida Gators have won in a row. The last time they were 0-1 was back in 1989 against the Ole Miss Rebels. Since then they are 22-0 SU, and since 2001, they are 8-3 ATS in their first game of the year. That’s bad news for the Bowling Green Falcons, who are hoping to withstand the Swamp on Saturday as 28.5-point dogs.

28: The number of FBS coaches that will be making debuts with their new teams this year. The most intriguing debut belongs to Head Coach Bill O’Brien of the Penn State Nittany Lions, as they will take on the Ohio Bobcats in what could be a very dangerous first game of the post-Joe Paterno era.

42.5: The number that is the lowest on the board for ‘totals’ this weekend. It comes in the Kentucky Wildcats/Louisville Cardinals game at Papa John’s Stadium on Sunday, and it really isn’t all that much of a surprise. Neither one of these teams were all that great offensively last year, and though QB Teddy Bridgewater might be a star eventually in the Big East, there isn’t another player on offense that is going to be on the field that has all that much of a chance of playing at the next level.

43: The number that represents the biggest point spread of the weekend. That huge number belongs to the North Texas Mean Green, who figure to be one of the worst teams in the Sun Belt this year. They’ll take on the LSU Tigers, who still have to be fuming over the fact that they never even made it past midfield the last time we saw them in the BCS National Championship Game.

67.5: The number that is the highest ‘total’ on the board this weekend. That comes when the Oregon Ducks take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves at Autzen Stadium. Think that number is too low? So do we. Last year, the Ducks averaged 32.5 points per game, while the Ducks trampled foes for 46.1 points per game.

80: That’s the percentage of games that the Michigan Wolverines have won all-time against the SEC. Of course, this week’s game against the Alabama Crimson Tide isn’t your average game against the SEC, but that 20-5 mark has to loom large in the backs of the minds of bettors. Do you really want to lay 14 against a Top 10 team with a Heisman Trophy caliber quarterback playing for a school that is 20-5 all-time against your conference?

86: The number of points per game that the USC Trojans and Hawaii Warriors have combined for in their last three meetings. Hawaii actually averages more yards per game in those clashes than the Men of Troy do, which is why the two teams combine to average just shy of 1,000 yards per game when they have met of late. Still, it could be a game where the points really fly onto the scoreboard for sure on Saturday at the LA Coliseum.

105: The number of combined passes that QB Joe Southwick and QB Andrew Maxwell have thrown for the Boise State Broncos and Michigan State Spartans respectively in their careers. That’s why this ‘total’ is so low at just 46 this weekend when these two teams meet.

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Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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