Cleveland Indians vs. New York Mets Free Pick 08/22/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-22

Amed Rosario and the streaking New York Mets are seeking their fifth consecutive victory when they play host to the struggling Cleveland Indians at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will televise this interleague showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at New York Mets Odds

New York (-150) is hosting this one as the favorite against Cleveland (+140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. There’s a runline of Indians +1.5 (-155) and Mets -1.5 (+135) for this matchup.

The Indians are 74-53 SU and are 68-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.6 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 66-60 SU and 65-60 ATS. They’ve lost 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 65-48-12 in 2019. Cleveland has been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-66-4.

Aaron Civale will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Civale is 1-2 with a 1.50 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mets are turning to righty Noah Syndergaard (8-6, 3.86 ERA), who has 151 strikeouts and 42 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Syndergaard did not re a start against the Indians in 2018.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.95 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.14 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .296/.360/.447 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Rosario is hitting .292/.331/.452 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs, 62 runs and 15 stolen bases, while McNeil is hitting .332 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs and 67 runs.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.

Indians hitters have slashed .252/.326/.436 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Cleveland’s offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana, who’ve collectively launched 51 home runs. Lindor is slashing .297/.352/.514 with 21 home runs, 53 RBIs, 74 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Santana (.291/.413/.552) is up to 30 homers, 79 RBIs and 91 runs scored.

The Indians have gained 0.1 units and are 43-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.2 units and are 49-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, as opposed to 34 that’ve gone under.

Cleveland Indians at New York Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has hit in five of Cleveland’s last seven outings.

The Indians have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.

The Indians have an OPS of .762 this season and an OPS of .769 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .769 overall and .760 versus righties.

New York has recorded 27.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.0 over its last five.

The Indians have lost four of their last five games SU.

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