Last Updated: 2017-11-08
The Detroit Lions revamped their post-season case with a road win at Lambeau Filed against the Packers on Monday Night Football and a win over the NFL’s worst team in last two years would get them over .500 for the first time since Week 5. The Browns on the other side are still in the search of the first victory of the season and they are coming off from another demolition, this time by the Vikings, 16:33, two weeks ago. Week 9 was a bye week for them and we’ll see if they can throw something new at us after the period resting.
The Lions are 4-4 against the spread this season (1-3 at home) and they are 5-3 in Over/Under while the Browns are 2-6 against the spread (0-3 on the road) and 3-5 in Over/Under. Total points for Sunday’s matchup are set at 43.5 and bookies are giving a big advantage to the Detroit Lions at -12. Very interesting duel is on the schedule so let’s check some basic info about the teams’ form so far into the season.
Lions vs. Browns
Spread: Detroit -12 (-110); Cleveland +12 (-110) at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Detroit -750; Cleveland +525
Totals: Over/Under 43.5 (-110)
The Lions managed to end the three-game losing skid with a win over the bitter rivals Green Bay Packers on the road, which was Stafford’s only third win against the Title Town team in his career (10 losses). Injury of Aaron Rodgers opened the NFC North up for grabs and the Lions are currently the biggest contenders after the 6-2 Vikings. The wild-card spot looks like a realistic possibility but they’ll have to improve their record far above the .500 percent because the competition should be very tough having in mind that 6-3 Panthers and 5-3 Cowboys are currently ranked at No. 5 and 6 spots in the conference. Detroit has a pretty good passing offense and if they can get some assistance on the ground, the postseason might be within their reach.
On the stat sheet, the team is averaging 335.9 total yards in offense (256.0 passing yards and 79.9 rushing yards) per game and 5.1 yards per play. Offensively they rank 16th in the league (7th in passing and 29th in rushing). On the other side of the field, they allow 341.8 total yards (251.9 passing yards and 89.9 rushing yards) to their opponents and 5.6 yards per play. Their overall defense is ranked 21st in the league (27th in passing yards allowed and 6th in rushing yards allowed) while they also allow 23.2 points per game (20th in the NFL).
Individually, Matthew Stafford has 2212 passing yards, 14 TDs and four interceptions so far while running back Ameer Abdullah leads the team’s ground attack with 417 yards and two scores. Golden Tate tops the receiving corps with 50 catches for 562 yards along with three scores. Linebacker Tahir Whitehead leads the team on the defensive side of the field with 34 total tackles while defensive ends Anthony Zettel and Ezekiel Ansah have 5.0 and 4.0 sacks recorded so far.
The Lions have 13 guys at the I-R (most in the NFC North). Also, Kenny Golladay (hamstring), Don Carey (knee) and Greg Robinson (ankle) are listed as questionable for Sunday.
The Cleveland Browns have only four wins over the course of last three seasons (4-36 record) and they certainly present one of the most unsuccessful franchises in the NFL in the last couple of years. The team didn’t have an over .500 season in last ten years (10-6 in 2007) and the fans are waiting for the divisional title since 1989. This long period of failures could finally end in the next couple of years but the team is still missing its final piece, franchise quarterback. We can say that the team hasn’t had a solid offensive leader since Bernie Kosar who led the team to four divisional titles during the late 80’s. Flops in the name of Weeden, McCown, and Manziel have been put aside and this year rookie DeShone Kizer started at the position but he also hasn’t been very successful so far. On the defensive side, there have been some visible improvements but the Browns are still not the complete team. Having in mind that they’ll probably have one of first two picks in the 2018 NFL Draft, the break might finally be behind the corner.
Statistically, the team is averaging 301.2 total yards in offense (206.1 passing yards and 95.1 rushing yards) per match and 4.7 yards per play. Defensively, they allow 313.5 total yards per game (229.2 passing yards and 84.2 rushing yards) to their opponents and 4.9 yards per play. Their defense ranks 9th in total yards allowed but 28th in points allowed per matchup (25.2).
DeShone Kizer started in seven of eight Browns’ games and he has been benched in a couple of matchups with Kevin Hogan stepping in. Kizer has 1144 yards, three TD’s and 11 picks so far while Hogan has one start and 517 total yards along with four TD’s and five picks. Isaiah Crowell tops the running game with 351 yards and one score while WR Ricardo Louis recorded most receiving yards with 292. Linebacker duo Joe Schobert and Christian Kirksey top the team on the defensive side of the field with 40 and 38 total tackles while rookie DE Myles Garrett who played in only three games during the season has team-high 4.0 sacks.
Josh Gordon (suspension) is out while Duke Johnson (concussion), Trevon Coley (neck), Jason McCourty (ankle), Larry Ogunjobi (groin), Jabrill Peppers (toe) and Kevin Hogan (ribs) are listed as questionable. Myles Garrett (concussion) is probable for Sunday.
Lions vs. Browns Betting Lines
I’m sure that the Browns will record at least one win this year but it probably won’t be in Week 10 in Detroit. Still, two touchdowns spread look a bit much and I will go on the Browns side here. The Lions will most probably win the game but I’m expecting a low-scoring, under 13.5 difference duel. The most interesting matchup will be between the Lions’ injury-infested offensive tackles unit and Browns DE Myles Garrett. Browns defense have enough juice to limit the Lions under 20 points but their offense doesn’t seem to be able to score more than maybe 12 in total. Still, this is a very interesting match worth of watching.
My Pick: Cleveland Browns +13.5 (-110)
Totals: Under 43.5 (-110)