Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Catamounts face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Catamounts are hosting the game at Ramsey Center in Cullowhee, NC. The over/under for this Southern conference contest is set at 139 points, with Western Carolina being favored by -11.5 at home against Citadel.


The Pick: Citadel Bulldogs +11.5

This game will be played at Ramsey Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Catamounts.
  • Even though we have Western Carolina winning straight-up, we like Citadel at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can The Bulldogs Secure a Win at Cullowhee?

As an underdog, Citadel has gone 1-12 this season, and they have lost their last two games. The Bulldogs are 9-14 overall, including a 1-8 mark in Southern Conference action. On the road, they are 2-9, and they have lost five straight games away from home.

For the year, Citadel has a scoring differential of -5.6 points per game on the road. In their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone 2-8, and they are coming off a 62-60 loss to East Tennessee State.

As the underdog, Citadel has gone 5-7-1 vs. the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-6 and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Citadel games is 6-11-2, and today’s line of 139 is pretty close to the average over/under line in their games of 139.7. Right now, the average scoring total in Citadel’s games is 137.3 points per game. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points.

Compared to their season average of 70.7 points per game, Citadel struggled in their previous game. Against East Tennessee State, the Bulldogs scored 60 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40.4%. Elijah Morgan is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, AJ Smith brings a PPG average of 15.9 into the game.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 116th in the country, permitting 69.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. East Tennessee State, the Buccaneers finished with a field goal percentage of 39% and a total of 62 points vs. Citadel.

Do the Catamounts Have What it Takes at Home?

Western Carolina enters this game with a 16-7 overall record, including a 5-4 mark in Southern Conference play. The Catamounts are 5-3 at home this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

As the favorite, Western Carolina is 10-3 this season, and they have been favored in 13 of their 23 games. The Catamounts’ average scoring margin at home this season is +6.4 points per game.

Western Carolina’s ATS record this season is 11-8, including a mark of 3-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Catamounts have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Western Carolina’s over/under record for the season is 8-11, and today’s over/under line of 139 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.4). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 176 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

In their latest game, Western Carolina’s offense looked good, scoring 85 points against Chattanooga. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.5% and made 16/19 free throws. On the offensive front, the Catamounts have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 143rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 113rd in terms of percentage and 100th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Catamounts’ defense holds the 104th rank in the nation, allowing 69.3 points per game. Against Chattanooga in their most recent game, the Western Carolina defense gave up a total of 91 points while allowing Chattanooga to hit 45% of their shots.