Looking to win big? The Bulldogs and Keydets face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Keydets are hosting the game at Cameron Hall in Lexington, VA. The Bulldogs are the favorites in this Southern conference matchup the against the Keydets. The over/under for the game is set at 150 points.
CITADEL BULLDOGS VS VMI KEYDETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: VMI Keydets +9.5
This game will be played at Cameron Hall at 1:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE VMI KEYDETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Keydets.
- Not only will VMI pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Will the Citadel Defense Show Up on the Road?
So far this season, Citadel has been a much better team at home, as they have gone 3-4 compared to 2-6 on the road. As the favorite this season, the Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0, and they will be the favorite again tonight, as they are favored by 9.5 points. Over their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone just 2-8.
After losing their last game to UNCG, Citadel’s record now sits at 8-10. In their last five games, the Bulldogs have gone 2-3, and they are currently on a five-game losing streak. This season, Citadel has gone 0-5 in Southern Conference play compared to 8-5 in non-conference action.
So far this season, Citadel has gone 7-7-1 against the spread. When they are the favorite, the Bulldogs have a record of 3-1 vs. the spread. On the road, Citadel has gone 4-4 ATS this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have a mark of 6-4 vs. the spread.
On the season, the over/under record for Citadel games sits at 5-9-1, and today’s line of 150 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (139.6). Their average scoring total this year is 137.8 points per game, and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.
The Bulldogs’ offense finished with 67 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 71.9 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Elijah Morgan, who is averaging 15 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, AJ Smith also maintains a PPG average of 16.2 heading into game.
So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 97th in the country at 68.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. VMI. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.7%.
Will VMI Come Through as Home Underdogs?
Coming into this game, VMI has lost 15 straight games to fall to 3-15 on the season. They are 0-5 in Southern Conference play and 0-6 at home this season. On the year, they have been outscored by an average of 14.5 points per game at home.
Most recently, the Keydets lost to Furman by a score of 100-60. Over their last 10 home games, VMI is 4-6.
This season, VMI has an ATS record of 4-11 and they are 1-5 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Keydets are just 1-9 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for VMI games is 6-9 and today’s line of 150 is right in line with the average OU line in their games of 149.4. This year, 8 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s while 6 of their games have finished with more than 150 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 186 points.
Compared to their season average of 70.6 points per game, VMI struggled in their previous game. Against Furman, the Keydets scored 60 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 38.7%. For the season, the VMI offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 344th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 44%.
At this time, the Keydets’ defense is positioned 305th in the country, permitting 80.6 points per game. Against Furman in their most recent game, the VMI defense gave up a total of 100 points while allowing Furman to hit 38% of their shots.