Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Mocs. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Mocs at McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Southern conference contest is set at 141 points, with Chattanooga being favored by -10 at home against Citadel.


The Pick: Citadel Bulldogs +10

This game will be played at McKenzie Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Mocs.
  • Even though we have Chattanooga winning straight-up, we like Citadel at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Citadel Stun the Crowd at McKenzie Arena?

After winning their last game against Mercer by a score of 68-66, Citadel will look to snap a three-game road losing streak. So far this season, they have gone 2-7 on the road, and their average scoring margin in these games is -3.6.

As an underdog, Citadel has gone just 1-10 this season, and they will enter this game as 10-point underdogs. In their 20 games this year, they have gone 9-11, including a 1-6 mark in Southern Conference play.

As the underdog this season, Citadel has gone 4-6-1 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-5 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 3-6-1 vs. the spread. In their last three road games, the Bulldogs are 1-2 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 141 is similar to the average over/under line in Citadel’s games this season (139.8). So far, their over/under record is 5-10-2. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is lower than today’s over/under line of 141. Over their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

In their recent game, the Bulldogs’ offense concluded with 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 71.3 points per contest. Elijah Morgan is leading the team in scoring at 14.9 points per contest. AJ Smith has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.7 going into the game.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 88th in the country, permitting 68.7 points per game. Against Mercer in their most recent game, the Citadel defense gave up a total of 66 points while allowing Mercer to hit 41% of their shots.

Are Chattanooga Ready for a Home Win?

After winning their last game against Wofford by a score of 79-65, Chattanooga comes into this game with a record of 13-7. Over their last ten games at home, the Mocs have gone 8-2.

So far this season, Chattanooga has been the favorite in 12 games and has gone 9-3. At home, they have gone 6-2 compared to their 5-5 record on the road.

As the favorite this season, Chattanooga has gone 7-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mocs have a mark of 6-4 vs. the spread. At home, Chattanooga has an ATS record of 4-4 this season and they are 2-2 vs. the spread in their last 5 home games.

This season, the over/under record for Chattanooga games is 9-9 and their matchups have averaged 148.7 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 141 is lower than the season-long average OU line of 148.7. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and those matchups have averaged 144 points.

In their latest game, Chattanooga’s offense looked good, scoring 79 points against Wofford. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 56.1% and made 6/9 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Honor Huff, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while Jan Zidek also carries a PPG average of 11.8 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Chattanooga defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Chattanooga’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.6% this season.