Getting the start for the Reds (68-66, 37-32 away) will be Hunter Greene against Logan Webb for the Giants (69-63, 38-30 home). Today marks game three of their series, with the Giants currently holding the 2-0 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants matchup.
CINCINNATI REDS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Giants -167
This game will be played at Oracle Park at 3:45 ET on Wednesday, August 30th.
WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS:
- Over their previous five games as the underdog, the Reds are just 1-4 straight-up.
- San Francisco is on a two game winning streak when favored on the moneyline.
- The Reds are just 1-2 in Hunter Greene’s last three starts.
CINCINNATI REDS TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL CENTRAL
For the season, the Reds are 68-66 overall, including going 37-32 on the road and 31-34 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Cincinnati is above .500 at 19-18-5. In the NL Central, the Reds are currently 3rd.
Today marks Hunter Greene’s 17th appearance of the 2023 season, and his record is 2-6. His ERA currently stands at 5.06, with an OBP allowed of .331. He has struck out 108 batters and has a WHIP of 1.52. When pitching away from home, Greene’s ERA is 4.52 compared to 8.09 when he takes the mound in front of his home crowd.
Hunter Greene and the Reds were unable to come away with a win after the right-hander gave up five runs on five hits in 3 2/3 innings against Arizona.
The Reds have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 4 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 8th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 17th in home runs and 14th in slugging percentage. Overall, Cincinnati is averaging 4.8 runs per game (10th).
Spencer Steer has been a key contributor to the Reds’ offense this season. With a batting average of .268 and 72 runs batted in, he has been an invaluable asset to the team. Additionally, Steer has hit 18 home runs so far in 2023.
WILL THE SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Leading up to today’s game, the Giants are 2nd in the NL West on a record of 69-63. Overall, they have played in 43 different series, going 18-23-2. When playing above .500 teams, the Giants are 69-63, and currently hold win percentages of 55.9% at home and 48.4% on the road.
The Giants will turn to Logan Webb, who has a 9-10 record in 27 appearances this season. His ERA stands at 3.51, and he has an impressive 8.41 K/9 ratio. Additionally, his FIP is 3.35 and opponents have a .276 OBP against him.
After suffering a defeat to the Braves, Logan Webb’s most recent outing saw him surrender five runs on six hits across 5 1/3 innings.
For the season, the Giants are 16th in batting average, hitting a combined .239. Over their last ten games, they have hit .261 which is 10th in that span. San Francisco’s average of 4.3 runs per game puts them 19th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 143 times and have a team slugging percentage of .388.
Wilmer Flores is the Giants’ home-run leader in 2023, having already blasted 19 long balls and driven in 49 runs. His slugging percentage for the season is a robust .531.