The Reds (55-46, 27-20 away) travel to take on the Brewers (55-45, 27-23 home) in game one of this NL Central matchup. Graham Ashcraft is getting the start for the Reds while Colin Rea is starting for the Brewers. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers showdown at American Family Field.
CINCINNATI REDS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds -104
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Monday, July 24th.
WHY BET THE CINCINNATI REDS:
- In their three most recent games as the favorite, the Reds are 3-0.
- So far this year, the Reds lead the season series against the Brewers 2-8.
- Colin Rea has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 6.62 over his last two starts.
CINCINNATI REDS ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK
The Reds enter today’s game with an overall record of 55-46 which includes going 26-28 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 2nd in the NL Central. Across their 30 series, Cincinnati is 15-11-4 and have records of 27-20 and 28-26 on the road and at home, respectively.
The Reds will look to Graham Ashcraft, who has a 5-7 record in 18 outings this season. His ERA stands at 5.76, with a K/9 of 6.34 and FIP of 5.30, while his OBP is .350.
The Cincinnati Reds earned a victory in Graham Ashcraft’s last start, besting the San Francisco Giants 3-2. The right-hander tossed six frames, surrendering five hits and two earned runs while notching his third win of the 2023 season.
Offensively, Cincinnati is ranked 7th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Reds averaged 5.6 runs per contest, which is 3rd best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Cincinnati is 15th in all of baseball, with a total of 113 home runs.
Jonathan India has been one of the Cincinnati Reds’ most potent offensive weapons in 2023. The third baseman is batting .251 with 51 RBIs, and he has smashed 14 home runs thus far.
WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
As the Brewers head into today’s game vs. the Reds, they have the top spot in the NL Central with an overall record of 55-45. Currently, their home/away splits sit at 27-23 and 28-22, respectively. Through 30 series, they have gone 16-13-1.
Starter Colin Rea has been a steady presence for the Brewers this season, boasting an overall record of 5-4 through 17 appearances. His ERA stands at 4.64, and he has recorded 7.38 strikeouts per nine innings pitched. Rea’s FIP is 4.80 and opposing batters have a .286 on-base percentage against him.
Colin Rea’s last outing saw him surrender five hits over five innings, resulting in two earned runs. The Brewers ultimately emerged victorious, 5-3, over the Phillies despite Rea not being credited with the win.
During their last ten games, Milwaukee is the 18th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .227 and are averaging 3.1 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Brewers are hitting .232 with an OBP of .310 while averaging 4.1 runs per contest. This figure puts them 24th in the league.
The Brewers’ offensive leader, Christian Yelich, has been a consistent presence in the lineup this season. He currently holds a .288 batting average and boasts an impressive .478 SLG% and .374 OBP.