The Reds (56-48, 28-22 away) travel to take on the Dodgers (58-43, 30-18 home) in game one of this National League matchup. Brandon Williamson is getting the start for the Reds while Bobby Miller is starting for the Dodgers. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers showdown at Dodger Stadium.

CINCINNATI REDS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Friday, July 28th.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI REDS:

  • In their last three games as the underdog, the Reds have put together a runline record of 2-1.
  • The Dodgers have struggled against the runline when favored of late, failing to cover in four straight times.
  • Over his last four starts, Brandon Williamson has an ERA of just 2.02.

CINCINNATI REDS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS

Leading up to today’s game, the Reds are 2nd in the NL Central on a record of 56-48. Overall, they have played in 32 different series, going 16-12-4. When playing above .500 teams, the Reds are 56-48, and currently hold win percentages of 51.9% at home and 56.0% on the road.

Brandon Williamson has made 12 appearances so far this season, with two consecutive games of at least six innings. His record stands at 2-2, and his ERA is 4.60 with a WHIP of 1.26. His K/BB ratio is 46/23 and opponents have a .435 slugging percentage against him, while their batting average is .229.

Brandon Williamson’s most recent outing saw him secure a quality start and the win for his team, who emerged victorious by a score of 4-2 over the Diamondbacks. The right-hander allowed one run and three hits in six innings of work.

During their last ten games, Cincinnati is the 15th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .241 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Reds are hitting .252 with an OBP of .331 while averaging 4.8 runs per contest. This figure puts them 9th in the league.

Matt McLain has been a consistent force in the Cincinnati lineup this season, boasting a .301 batting average and .516 slugging percentage. Over the past ten games, he has been especially impressive, leading the team with hits and hitting at a .312 clip.

WILL THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Dodgers enter today’s game with an overall record of 58-43, including putting together an above .500 mark at home (30-18). This year, Los Angeles has played in 32 series and have gone 20-11-1. Currently, they are 1st in the NL West.

Bobby Miller has had an impressive start to the 2023 season. He is 6-1 with an ERA of 4.28, and has been especially dominant on the road, where he is 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA. At home, he has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 6.49. His WHIP stands at 1.19 and opponents are hitting .225 against him with a slugging percentage of .362.

Bobby Miller recently earned a victory in his last outing, as his team routed the Rangers 16-3. The right-hander allowed three runs and seven hits over six frames to secure a quality start.

Across their last ten games, the Dodgers’ offense is 4th in batting average, leading to an average of 6.5 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 2nd ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .789 on 166 (2nd).

The Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman is leading the team in hits this season, boasting a .328 batting average. His slugging percentage stands at .581 and his on-base percentage is .409.