The Reds (57-49, 29-23 away) and Dodgers (59-44, 31-19 home) square off in three of this National League series. Michael Grove will take the mound for the Dodgers against Graham Ashcraft for the Reds. See who I like to come out on top in this Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers showdown in Los Angeles.
CINCINNATI REDS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 4:10 ET on Sunday, July 30th.
WHY BET THE CINCINNATI REDS:
- Over their last ten games on the road, Cincinnati is 7-3 against the runline.
- In their last five games as the underdog, the Reds have put together a runline record of 4-1.
- Over his last five starts, Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of just 2.62.
CINCINNATI REDS ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK
The Reds enter today’s game with an overall record of 57-49 which includes going 32-32 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 2nd in the NL Central. Across their 33 series, Cincinnati is 16-13-4 and have records of 29-23 and 28-26 on the road and at home, respectively.
Graham Ashcraft has made 20 appearances in the 2023 season, with a 5-7 record. His ERA stands at 5.64, and batters are hitting .276 against him. On the road, he is 2-1 with a 4.47 ERA, while at home he is 3-6 on an ERA of 1.19. Teams have posted a slugging percentage of .451 against him this season.
Graham Ashcraft’s most recent start ended in a no-decision against the Brewers. The right-hander tossed 5 1/3 frames, yielding two runs on five hits, but the Reds ultimately fell 3-2.
Having gone deep 12 times in their last ten games, the Reds are 8th in that span. At 4.8 runs per game, Cincinnati is 9th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .252 while hitting a total of 117 home runs (16th).
Spencer Steer has been a major contributor to the Reds’ offense this season, leading the team with 15 home runs and 57 RBIs. His slugging percentage is currently .461, making him one of the most dangerous hitters in the lineup.
WILL THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Through 103 games, the Dodgers have a record of 59-44. This mark includes going 20-12-1 across their 33 series. Currently, Los Angeles is 1st in the NL West and have a 31-19 record at home while going 28-25 on the road. So far, the Dodgers have gone 34-29 against teams with above .500 records.
Michael Grove has taken the hill 13 times in 2023, with a 2-2 record. The right-hander is currently on a two-game streak of not allowing a long ball, and his slugging percentage allowed is .485. Grove has also fanned 53 batters this season, and his WHIP sits at 1.55.
Michael Grove’s most recent outing saw him take the mound for 4 2/3 innings, but the Dodgers ultimately fell to the Blue Jays 6-3. Despite not earning a decision, Grove gave up two runs on eight hits during his time on the bump.
For the season, the Dodgers’ offense is averaging 5.6 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 1st in the league in scoring, with a total of 66 runs. Overall, Los Angeles’ team batting average is .247, putting them 16th in the MLB.
Keep an eye on the starting lineups leading up to the game, as Mookie Betts is listed as questionable on the injury report for the Dodgers. The three-time All-Star has been a major contributor to Los Angeles’ offense this season, leading the team with 27 home runs and 68 RBIs while batting .277.