Heading into game two of this National League matchup, it will be Brandon Pfaadt on the mound for the Diamondbacks (67-61, 33-31 home), facing off against the Reds (67-62, 36-28 away) and Hunter Greene. Find out my prediction for today’s Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game in Phoenix.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -164
This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, August 25th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- The Diamondbacks have gone 4-1 in their five games at home.
- Arizona is on a four game winning streak when favored on the moneyline.
- Opponents are hitting just .197 against Brandon Pfaadt in his last two starts.
CINCINNATI REDS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
For the season, the Reds are 67-62 and 80-49 against the runline. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place and have gone 16-23 against division opponents. On the road, Cincinnati have won two straight series. The Reds’ season-long over/under record sits at 64-65.
Hunter Greene has made 16 appearances this season, boasting a 2-5 record. On the road, he has earned two wins and a 3.66 ERA, but at home his record is 0-4 with an ERA of 8.09. Opposing teams have a .472 slugging percentage against him overall, and he has allowed a batting average of .245.
The Cincinnati Reds were defeated by the Toronto Blue Jays 10-3 in Hunter Greene’s most recent start. Greene was unable to make it out of the game, surrendering eight earned runs on 10 hits.
In their five most recent games, the Reds have put together a batting average of only .217, placing them 23rd compared to the rest of the league. At 4.8 runs per game, Cincinnati is 9th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .248 and OPS of .739 which has them 13th in baseball.
Over the Reds’ last five contests, Matt McLain has been a force at the plate, leading the team with two home runs. For the season, he has 15 round-trippers and is batting .293.
WILL THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
On a record of 67-61, the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West. At home, they have put together a win percent of 51.6% compared to 53.1% on the road. This season, Arizona has gone 29-40 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 23-16-4.
Brandon Pfaadt has made 12 appearances this season, with an unenviable 0-6 record and a 6.13 ERA. He has 55 strikeouts, averaging 8.03 per nine innings, and his slugging percentage allowed is .529 with a WHIP of 1.41. On the road, he is 0-2 with an ERA of 4.87, while at home he is 0-4 with an ERA of 9.87.
Brandon Pfaadt put forth a strong performance in his most recent start, going seven innings without allowing a run. Unfortunately, the Diamondbacks were unable to capitalize on his effort and dropped the game to the Padres 4-0.
The Diamondbacks have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 4 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 8th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 16th in home runs and 12th in slugging percentage. Overall, Arizona is averaging 4.7 runs per game (12th).
The Diamondbacks’ Corbin Carroll has been one of the team’s most productive hitters in 2023. His .277 batting average and 64 runs batted in have helped him lead the way, while his 22 home runs have provided a powerful boost to the offense.