Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick 09/27/19

Starling Marte and the Pittsburgh Pirates will go for their fourth consecutive victory when they play host to the struggling Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park. The action gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Oddsmakers have put identical -105 moneyline odds on each team. If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -110 odds. Picking the over will give you -110 odds. There’s a runline of Reds -1.5 (+140) and Pirates +1.5 (-160) for this matchup.

The Reds are 73-86 SU and have gone 83-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.6 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 68-91 SU and 76-82 ATS. The team’s lost 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 22.8 units ATS.

Pirates games have an over/under record of 90-60-8 in 2019. The Reds have been a great under bet with a total record of 59-90-9.

Anthony DeSclafani will get the start for the Reds. The right-handed DeSclafani is 9-9 with a 3.84 ERA and 162 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.63 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (three starts).

The Pirates will turn to lefty Steven Brault (4-6, 5.07 ERA), who has 90 strikeouts and 49 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Brault is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.42 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 73 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.37.

The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .262/.287/.349 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Reynolds is hitting .314 with 16 homers, 68 RBIs and 83 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.12 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a K-per-9 of 9.92.

Reds hitters have slashed .244/.315/.421 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Cincinnati’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias, who collectively have belted 60 home runs. Suarez is hitting .273/.355/.577 with 49 home runs, 103 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .284/.311/.403 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 60 runs scored.