Last Updated: 2019-08-23
The Cincinnati Reds are making a road trip to PNC Park to take on their NL Central rival Pittsburgh Pirates. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on either ATPT or FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. Runline odds stand at +140 for picking the Reds -1.5 runs and -160 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Pirates are 52-75 straight up (SU) and 60-66 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.1 units ATS. On the other hand, the Reds are 60-66 SU and have gone 70-56 against the spread. They’ve lost 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 5.6 units ATS.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 71-49-6 in 2019. The Reds have been a great under bet with a total record of 48-72-6.
Anthony DeSclafani will get the nod for the visiting Reds. The right-handed DeSclafani is 8-7 with a 4.40 ERA and 127 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with eight strikeouts and an 8.10 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).
The Pirates are sending righty Mitch Keller (1-2, 8.86 ERA) to the hill. Keller has 24 punchouts and 10 walks to his name, along with a 2.02 WHIP. Keller is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 9.80.
Reds hitters have slashed .250/.320/.429 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is hitting .257/.339/.524 with 34 home runs, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .295 with nine homers, 48 RBIs and 52 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 58 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.85.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .190/.238/.278 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell. Marte is hitting .288/.331/.500 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs, 85 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Bell’s line is .278/.364/.575 with 31 homers, 99 RBIs and 84 runs.
The Reds have lost 1.1 units and are 52-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 3.9 units and are 47-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 39 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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The under has cashed in four of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Pirates have dropped five of their last six games SU.
Cincinnati has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.6 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
The Reds have an OPS of .750 this season and an OPS of .735 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .742 overall and .761 against righties.