Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick 09/29/19

Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds will be taking the field against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on both ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

The Reds are 74-87 SU and are 83-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.6 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 69-92 SU and 78-82 ATS. The team’s lost 10.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.8 units ATS.

Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 92-60-8 in 2019. The Reds have been a great under bet with a total record of 60-90-10.

Right-hander Tyler Mahle will get the nod for Cincinnati. Mahle is 2-12 with a 5.34 ERA and 124 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.

The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trevor Williams (7-8, 5.58 ERA), who’s got 108 strikeouts and 42 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Williams is 2-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA over three starts against Cincinnati this year.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.42 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 75 games against NL Central opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.26.

The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .276/.321/.403 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 stolen bases, and the line for Reynolds stands at .314/.377/.503 with 16 homers, 68 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.30, along with a K/9 of 9.79.

The Reds offense has slashed .244/.316/.421 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias, who’ve collectively belted 60 home runs. Suarez is slashing .273/.359/.575 with 49 home runs, 103 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .288/.318/.407 with 11 homers, 59 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER