Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick 04/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-15

Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Dodger Stadium. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+160) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-170). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over seven runs and +100 for under seven. There’s a runline of Reds +1.5 (-135) and Dodgers -1.5 (+115) for this matchup.

The Dodgers are 9-8 straight up (SU) and 6-10 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Reds are 5-9 SU and have gone 7-6 ATS. They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season, but have gained 0.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 11-5 thus far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 3-10.

Luis Castillo is getting the start for Cincinnati. The right-handed Castillo is 1-1 with a 0.92 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face Los Angeles this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 2-0 record with a 2.19 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Dodgers are giving Clayton Kershaw an opportunity to show what he’s got. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for the lefty Kershaw.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.14 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 6.4 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .271/.322/.512 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ offense so far. Bellinger is hitting .424/.500/.909 with nine home runs, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Turner is hitting .283 with 17 hits, eight RBIs and eight runs.

In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.00 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.51, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

Reds hitters have slashed .210/.285/.404 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is slashing .286/.423/.571 with 12 hits, six RBIs and four runs scored, while Votto (.245/.339/.408) is up to 12 hits, two RBIs and eight runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 2.7 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

Cincinnati has recorded 23 extra-base hits over its last five games. Los Angeles has 18 XBH over its last five.

Each team has hit 17 home runs over its last 10 games.

Los Angeles has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.

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