Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies Betting Pick 07/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-12

Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds will head west to Coors Field to face off against the Colorado Rockies. This NL matchup starts at 8:40 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on both ATRM and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Vegas is listing Colorado (-120) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+110). If you think this game’s total will go under 12.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will return -105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Reds +1.5 (-190) and Rockies -1.5 (+165).

The Rockies are 44-45 straight up (SU) and 46-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, have gone 41-46 SU this year and are 48-39 against the spread. They’ve lost 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.4 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 45-38-6 so far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a solid under bet with a total record of 30-53-4.

Right-hander Sonny Gray is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Gray is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 103 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Rockies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 ERA), who has 115 strikeouts and 42 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Gray made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a perfect 2-0 record in 2018, compiling a perfect 2-0 record with a 5.73 ERA.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.57 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Colorado hitters have produced 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .205/.263/.325 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Rockies’ batters have been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon. Arenado is hitting .312/.377/.562 with 20 home runs, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Blackmon’s line sits at .330/.378/.632 with 20 homers, 57 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.60 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.79 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

Reds hitters have slashed .235/.308/.406 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have paced Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is hitting .248/.326/.484 with 20 home runs, 54 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Votto is slashing .268/.360/.411 with eight homers, 22 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 2.3 units and are 34-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 0.4 units and are 24-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Cincinnati has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Colorado has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Reds have a team OPS of .713 this season and an OPS of .692 against right-handed pitchers. The Rockies’ OPS sits at .782 overall and .769 versus righties.

Cincinnati has recorded 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.

The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 12 over their last 10.

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