Last Updated: 2019-06-11
Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds will travel across the state to take on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Cincinnati (+105) is entering this game as the underdog against Cleveland (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Reds +1.5 (-200) and Indians -1.5 (+170).
The Reds are 29-35 SU and have gone 35-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 1.1 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them. The Indians, on the other hand, are 33-32 SU and 30-35 ATS. They’ve lost 8.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Cleveland games have a 28-36-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Reds have also been a great under bet with a total record of 23-39-2.
The right-handed Luis Castillo is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Castillo (6-1, 2.26 ERA) has recorded 90 strikeouts in 75.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Indians are putting the ball in the right hand of Trevor Bauer (4-6, 3.93 ERA, 1.16 WHIP), who’s got 103 strikeouts and 40 walks this season. Bauer only made one start against the Reds in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts across eight innings).
Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Cleveland offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .247/.302/.536 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ hitters have been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor. Santana is slashing .285/.403/.509 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Lindor’s line sits at .298/.366/.536 with 11 homers, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and seven steals.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.68 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.56, along with a K-per-9 of 9.84.
The Reds offense has slashed .233/.304/.400 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is hitting .265/.338/.500 with 14 home runs, 41 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .291/.330/.413 with four homers, 22 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 5.0 units and are 23-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 9.8 units and are 20-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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The over has hit in zero of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Reds have a team OPS of .704 this season and an OPS of .683 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .699 overall and .715 versus righties.
Cincinnati fielders have committed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
The Reds have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 21 over their last 10.