The NFL postseason continues with the AFC Championship Game that will be played in Kansas City on Sunday, January 29, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Bengals vs. Chiefs betting pick and odds.
Cincinnati is looking for the 11th win in a row when they visit Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals are 2-point favorites on BetDSI Sportsbook, while the total is set at 46.5 points. These conference rivals will meet for the second time this year; the Bengals won 27-24 in Cincinnati.
Bengals upset the Bills to make it to the AFC Championship Game
The Cincinnati Bengals (14-4-0, 13-4-1 ATS) are the hottest team in the AFC and they proved that in two playoff wins over the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills. The Bengals will play the AFC Championship Game for the second season in a row after defeating the Bills 27-10 on the road. Cincy never trailed in that game, and was better in total yards (412-325) and first downs (30-18), while the Bengals didn’t commit a single turnover and forced one on the other end in snowy conditions.
Joe Burrow completed 23 of 36 passes for 242 yards and two touchdowns. Ja’Marr Chase and Hayden Hurst caught those TD passes and combined for 120 yards on ten receptions. Joe Mixon was excellent on the ground with a game-high 105 rushing yards and a touchdown on 20 carries. On defense, Mike Hilton led the team with eight tackles.
T Jonah Williams (knee), CB Tre Flowers (undisclosed), and G Alex Cappa (ankle) are questionable to feature in Kansas City on Sunday.
Chiefs didn’t let the Jaguars upset them in Kansas City
The Kansas City Chiefs (15-3-0, 5-12-1 ATS) came off a bye week and defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20 in the AFC Divisional Round tilt at home. The Chiefs were always up in this one and didn’t allow a potential upset from a brave Jacksonville team that already surprised the Chargers in the previous rounds. Kansas City’s defense did a solid job by forcing a couple of turnovers, while the offense didn’t make a single one in return.
Patrick Mahomes completed 22 of 30 passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns. He was out briefly after sustaining a right ankle injury but insisted to return as he didn’t want to be out of a playoff game. Chad Henne led a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was out, completing five of his seven attempts. Travis Kelce was dominant in the air as he caught a career-high 14 passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns. Marquez Valdes-Scantling also scored a receiving TD. Isiah Pacheco contributed with a game-high 95 yards on 12 rushing attempts. Defensively, Nick Bolton led the Chiefs with ten tackles.
WR Mecole Hardman (abdomen) and RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle) are questionable to face the Bengals on Sunday.
- 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven playoff games
- 5-1 ATS in the last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game
- 13-2-1 ATS in the last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record
- 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 games overall
- 9-24-1 ATS in the last 34 vs. AFC rivals
- 1-8-1 ATS in the last ten home games
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick
Kansas City does have the best offense in the NFL which averages 29.2 points per game, but Cincinnati proved they can beat a high-scoring team as they beat the second-best offense on the road in the Divisional Round. The Bengals allowed just ten points against the Bills, and I don’t say they will limit the Chiefs to ten points here, but I am backing them to produce another strong defensive showing. Although the numbers are saying otherwise, I actually think the Bengals have more offensive weapons at their disposal. They are not bad themselves when it comes to the offense as they average 26.1 ppg, but if the Bengals can make crucial stops on defense, I am sure they will be heading to the second consecutive Super Bowl.
Pick: Take the Bengals at -0.5 (-133)
It’s hard to expect the Bengals to display another rock-solid defensive performance, while the Chiefs allowed 20 points to the Jacksonville Jaguars, so I think we will have a high-scoring affair here. Also, the overtime is on the cards as these two teams are pretty equal and this game could go either way. Over is 7-1-1 in the Bengals’ last nine games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points; Over is 10-4 in the Chiefs’ previous 14 games in January, while Over is 5-2 in Kansas City’s last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Pick: Go Over 45.5 points (-120)