Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans NFL Playoffs Pick
- Updated: January 2, 2013
NFL Playoffs Pick
Date/Time: Saturday, Jan.5 4:30 p.m. (ET)
NFL Odds from VietBet
Point Spread: Houston -4.5
NFL Betting Game Trends
- Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
- Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games on the road
- Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
- Houston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati finds itself in the exact same position as it was last season; taking a trip to Houston in the Wildcard Round of the playoffs. Last year the Bengals lost 31-10 as four-point underdogs but are hoping for a different result this time around. They bring some solid momentum into Saturday’s matchup with a 7-1 record both straight-up and against the spread over the second half of the season. Cincinnati finished the year 10-6 SU (9-6-1 ATS) and the total stayed UNDER in 10 of the 16 games.
If the Bengals are going to have any shot at avenging last year’s loss they will need another big day from quarterback Andy Dalton and wide receiver AJ Green. These two hooked-up 97 times this season for 1,350 yards and 11 touchdowns. It will also help if running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis can pick up where he left off with 1,094 yards and six touchdowns on the ground. The deciding factor in this contest could be a Cincinnati defense that was ranked eighth in the NFL in points allowed.
Through much of the regular season the Texans appeared to be the team to beat in the AFC with an 11-1 dominating start. The wheels have come off down the stretch with just one victory in their last four games. Instead of taking a week off as the No.1 seed in the conference, a 28-16 loss to Indianapolis in the season finale as a 6.5-point road favorite has Houston playing this game as the third seed in the conference. It went 9-7 ATS this year with the total staying UNDER in four of its last five games.
Much of the blame for the recent slide can be attributed to the play of quarterback Matt Schaub. Over the past four weeks he has thrown just one touchdown pass verse three interceptions while getting sacked 12 times. The once vaunted Houston defense has also been suspect down the stretch. In mid-November it gave-up a combined 68 points in back-to-back overtime victories over Jacksonville and Detroit and was torched for 42 points in a Week 14 loss to New England.
Momentum means everything when it comes to the NFL playoffs and this clearly favors Cincinnati in the matchup. The other plain and simple fact is that Houston is not as good as its record might indicate. Look for the Dalton to Green connection to come up big this Saturday afternoon as the Bengals win this game SU. Cincinnati 28 Houston 24
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