Planning on watching today’s Bearcats and Red Raiders game? Catch the action at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, TX, as the Red Raiders hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 142 points, and Texas Tech is favored by -4.5 vs. Cincinnati in a Big 12 conference matchup.


The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +4.5

This game will be played at United Supermarkets Arena at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Red Raiders.
  • Even though we have Texas Tech winning straight-up, we like Cincinnati at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can Cincinnati Grab a Win on the Road?

Coming off a 69-65 loss to West Virginia, Cincinnati is 14-7 overall and 3-5 in the Big 12. On the road, the Bearcats have gone 2-5 this season, and they have lost three straight away from home. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is -2.1 points per game.

As an underdog, Cincinnati is 1-3 this season, and they have been the underdog in four of their 21 games. So far, they have been favored in 17 games and have gone 13-4 in those contests.

As the underdog this season, Cincinnati has gone 3-1 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 10-11, and they are 3-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bearcats are 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Cincinnati sits at 10-11. So far, their games have averaged 143.6 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 146.5. Today’s line of 142 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games of 133 and their OU record in their last three games is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the Cincinnati offense put up just 65 points vs. the West Virginia Mountaineers. Overall, they are now averaging 77 points per game which is 118th in the country. Daniel Skillings was the leading scorer for the Bearcats, putting up 15 points. In addition, Simas Lukosius contributed 13 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Cincinnati defense is giving up an average of 66.6 points per contest. Cincinnati’s three-point defense is currently 114th in the country at 6.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.4% of their shots vs. Cincinnati.

Taking a Look at the Red Raiders Chances at Home

After losing their most recent game to TCU by a score of 85-78, Texas Tech will look to bounce back and continue their undefeated home record of 11-0. As the favorite, the Red Raiders have a perfect record of 13-0 this season.

So far this season, Texas Tech has an average scoring margin of +16.8 points per game at home, compared to -0.2 points per game on the road. Over their last ten games at home, the Red Raiders have gone 10-0.

As the favorite this season, Texas Tech has gone 7-6 vs. the spread. At home, the Red Raiders are 6-5 ATS this year and they have gone 5-5 vs. the number in their last 10 home games. Over their last three home games, Texas Tech has a 2-1 ATS mark.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 13-7 and today’s line of 142 is higher than the average OU line in their games (138.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and the OU record for their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Texas Tech offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against TCU. They posted a field goal percentage of 51.9% and connected on 14 threes. In terms of offense, the Red Raiders have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 111st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 54th in percentage and 51st in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Texas Tech defense is giving up an average of 68.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas Tech’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.7% this season.