Betting on today’s Bearcats and Horned Frogs game? Catch the action at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX, as the Horned Frogs hosts this showdown at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. This Big 12 conference matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points, and TCU is favored to win by -4 at home vs. Cincinnati.


The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +4

This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 3:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Horned Frogs.
  • Even though we have TCU winning straight-up, we like Cincinnati at +4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Bearcats Have a Shot at a Win at Fort Worth?

After losing their last game to Oklahoma State, Cincinnati’s overall record now stands at 16-10. They are 5-8 in Big 12 games and 11-2 in non-conference games. On the road, the Bearcats have gone 4-5 this season and are currently on a two-game win streak away from home.

As an underdog this season, Cincinnati has gone 3-4, and they are 13-6 when they are favored. So far, they have been favored in 19 of their 26 games. On average, the Bearcats have been outscored by 1.1 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Cincinnati has been solid vs. the spread, going 5-1-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-4 and over their last 10 road games, they’re 5-5 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Cincinnati this season is 13-13 and today’s line of 146.5 is very close to the average OU line in their games (144.6). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

In their previous game, the Bearcats’ offense finished with 76 points, which is right in line with their current average of 75.6 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Simas Lukosius with 17 points. Day Day Thomas also added 10 points for the Bearcats.

So far this season, the Cincinnati defense has been performing well, ranking 68th in the country at 67.7 points allowed per contest. The Cincinnati defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 80 points and allowed Oklahoma State to connect on 5 threes.

Will the Horned Frogs Live Up to Expectations at Home?

TCU comes into tonight’s game against Cincinnati as the favorite, as they have been in 19 of their 26 games this season. So far, they have gone 15-4 in those games. At home, the Horned Frogs are 11-4 this season, and they have won their last two games at home.

In their last game, TCU fell to Texas Tech by a score of 82-81. On the season, they have an overall record of 18-8, including a 7-6 mark in Big 12 play. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +14.2 points per game.

As the favorite this season, TCU has gone 11-8 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Horned Frogs have a record of 7-3 vs. the spread. At home, TCU is 8-7 this year vs. the spread and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home. Overall, TCU has an ATS record of 16-10 this season.

TCU’s over/under record for the season sits at 14-12 and today’s line of 146.5 is in line with the average over/under line in their games (148.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 152 points.

The TCU offense is coming off a game where they scored 81 points against Texas Tech. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.3% and connected on 5 threes. Emanuel Miller was the leading scorer for the Horned Frogs, putting up 15 points. In addition, Avery Anderson III contributed 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the TCU defense is giving up an average of 71.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.4 threes per game vs. Cincinnati. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.5%.