Betting on today’s Bearcats and Sooners game? Catch the action at Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, OK, as the Sooners hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138.5 points, and Oklahoma is favored by -5.5 to win at home against Cincinnati.


The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +5.5

This game will be played at Lloyd Noble Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Sooners.
  • Even though we have Oklahoma winning straight-up, we like Cincinnati at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can Cincinnati Pull Off a Road Win?

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 17-12 this season and 6-10 in Big 12 play. They have gone 11-2 in non-conference games, including a 74-72 win over Kansas State in their last game. This season, Cincinnati is 4-7 on the road, and they have lost their last two games away from home.

As the underdog, the Bearcats have gone 3-6 this season, and they are 14-6 when favored. Their average scoring margin on the road is -3.3 points per game, compared to +12.2 at home. So far, Cincinnati has played 29 games, and their record as the underdog is 9-20.

When looking at Cincinnati’s ATS record this season, they have gone 13-15-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-5 and vs. the spread as the underdog, they are 6-2-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bearcats are 6-3-1 and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Cincinnati’s games this season (144). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 134 points.

The Cincinnati offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Kansas State. Overall their field goal percentage was 47% while connecting on 8 threes. Coming into the game, the Bearcats offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 32%. On average, they get up 21.6 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 12.4 made free-throws.

At this time, the Bearcats’ defense is positioned 74th in the country, permitting 68.0 points per game. Against Kansas State, the Bearcats’ defense gave up 72 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Kansas State only made 4 free-throws.

Can the Sooners Please their Home Crowd?

After losing their last game to Houston by a score of 87-85, Oklahoma comes into this matchup with a record of 19-10. Over their last ten games, the Sooners have gone 6-4 at home.

So far this season, Oklahoma has been favored in 18 games and has a record of 15-3 in those matchups. At home, the team is 15-5, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak.

When looking at Oklahoma’s ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at .500 with a mark of 14-14. At home, their ATS record is 11-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sooners have gone 4-6. In their last 10 home games vs. the spread, they also have a record of 4-6.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Oklahoma’s games this season (143.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points. On the season, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

The Oklahoma offense is coming off a game where they scored 85 points against Houston. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.7% and connected on 12 threes. Sam Godwin led the team in scoring, putting up 17 points. Additionally, Rivaldo Soares contributed 16 points for the Sooners.

This season, the Oklahoma defense has been impressive, holding the 64th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.6 points per contest. The Oklahoma defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 87 points and allowed Houston to connect on 12 threes.