Betting on today’s Bearcats and Cougars game? Catch the action at Fertitta Center in Houston, TX, as the Cougars hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 132.5 points, and Houston is favored by -13.5 to win at home against Cincinnati.


The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +13.5

This game will be played at Fertitta Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Even though we have Houston winning straight-up, we like Cincinnati at +13.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Cincinnati?

After losing their last two games, Cincinnati is now 16-11 on the season and 5-9 in Big 12 play. So far, they have gone 11-2 in non-conference games and 4-6 on the road.

As the underdog, the Bearcats are 3-5 this season and have gone 2-3 in their last five road games. For the year, they have an average scoring differential of -2.8 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Cincinnati has a solid ATS record of 5-2-1. Their overall ATS mark is just 12-14-1, but they have been better vs. the spread as the underdog. On the road, the Bearcats have gone 5-5 vs. the spread this year and they are 2-1 in their last 3 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Cincinnati’s games this year (144.7). This season, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 145 points compared to their season average of 142.9 points per game.

Most recently, the Cincinnati offense finished with just 57 points vs. TCU. For the game, they hit 5/14 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 41.5%. Day Day Thomas led the team in scoring, putting up 13 points. Additionally, Simas Lukosius contributed 9 points for the Bearcats.

The Bearcats’ defense is presently ranked 78th nationally, allowing an average of 67.9 points per contest. Cincinnati’s three-point defense is currently 99th in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.4% of their shots vs. Cincinnati.

Will Houston Win at Home?

With a perfect 16-0 record at home this season, Houston is heavily favored to win their 17th straight home game today against Cincinnati. On the year, the Cougars have gone 22-2 when favored, including a 10-0 mark at home.

Coming off a 73-65 win over Iowa State, Houston has now won four straight games. Over their last 10 games at home, the Cougars have gone a perfect 10-0.

At home this season, Houston has an ATS record of 10-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cougars have gone 5-3-2 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Houston is 1-1-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Houston’s games this season (133). So far, 10 of their games have had a lower over/under line than 132.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 146 points.

In their latest game, Houston offense put up 73 points against Iowa State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42% and made 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring is LJ Cryer, who is averaging 15 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jamal Shead also maintains a PPG average of 13.3 heading into game.

The Cougars’ defense is presently ranked 1st nationally, allowing an average of 56.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.2 threes per game vs. Cincinnati. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.