Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 09/27/19

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Kris Bryant and the Chicago Cubs will head south to face their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. WGN will showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

The Cardinals are 90-69 straight up (SU) and 84-75 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units ATS. The Cubs are 82-77 SU and have gone 74-84 ATS. They’ve lost 12.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS.

St. Louis games have had an over/under record of 64-83-12 in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 72-75-11.

Alec Mills will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The right-handed Mills is 1-0 with a 2.90 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals will be sending righty Dakota Hudson (16-7, 3.45 ERA) to the mound. Hudson has 126 strikeouts and 81 walks to his credit as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Hudson is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 73 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.30.

The St. Louis offense has put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .251/.332/.469 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong have led the Cardinals’ offense this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .259/.346/.475 with 33 home runs, 95 RBIs and 95 runs scored, while Wong’s line is .285/.361/.423 with 11 homers, 59 RBIs, 61 runs and 24 steals.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 9.07.

Cubs hitters have slashed .252/.333/.451 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Third baseman Kris Bryant and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Bryant is slashing .282/.382/.521 with 31 home runs, 77 RBIs and 108 runs scored. Rizzo is slashing .293/.405/.520 with 27 homers, 94 RBIs and 89 runs scored.

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

Chicago has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. St. Louis has 20 XBH over its last five.

The Cubs have a team OPS of .785 this season and an OPS of .795 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .737 overall and .736 against righties.

Chicago fielders have committed seven errors over the last five games, compared to only three errors for St. Louis over its last five.

The Cubs have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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