Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick 09/28/19

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Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals will try to avoid losing their fourth straight game as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Busch Stadium. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Chicago (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog to St. Louis (-175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). There’s a runline of Cubs +1.5 (-135) and Cardinals -1.5 (+115) for this matchup.

The Cubs are 83-77 SU and have gone 74-85 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.1 units ATS. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 90-70 SU and 84-75 ATS. The team has gained 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS.

St. Louis games have a 64-83-12 over/under record in 2019. Chicago has an over/under record of 73-75-11.

Southpaw Cole Hamels will get the start for the visiting Cubs. Hamels is 7-7 with a 3.92 ERA and 135 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against St. Louis this year (two starts).

The Cardinals are turning to righty Adam Wainwright (14-9, 3.98 ERA), who has 150 strikeouts and 64 walks as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Wainwright is 1-2 with 17 strikeouts and a 3.91 ERA over four starts against Chicago this year.

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 74 games against NL Central foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.84 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.

St. Louis’ hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.309/.411 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong have led the Cardinals’ batters this year. Goldschmidt is hitting .257/.343/.471 with 33 home runs, 95 RBIs and 95 runs scored, while Wong is hitting .285 with 11 homers, 59 RBIs, 61 runs and 24 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Cubs offense has slashed .252/.334/.452 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Kris Bryant and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Bryant is slashing .282/.382/.521 with 31 home runs, 77 RBIs and 108 runs scored, while Rizzo (.293/.405/.520) is up to 27 homers, 94 RBIs and 89 runs scored.

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

Chicago has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. St. Louis has 17 XBH over its last five.

The Cubs have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 15 over their last 10.

The Cubs have an OPS of .786 this season and an OPS of .796 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .737 overall and .736 against righties.

Chicago fielders have committed seven errors over the last five outin, compared to only three errors for St. Louis over its last five.