Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals Free Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs will head east to play the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. WGN will televise this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas has listed Washington (-135) as the favorite over Chicago (+125). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 7.5 runs and -125 for under 7.5. There’s a runline of Cubs +1.5 (-170) and Nationals -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.

The Nationals are 18-25 straight up (SU) and 16-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Cubs have gone 25-16 SU this year and are 21-19 ATS. They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 3.2 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 20-19-3 so far in 2019. Chicago has an over/under record of 21-18-1.

Cole Hamels will get the start for Chicago. The southpaw Hamels is 3-0 with a 3.08 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face Washington this year, but he made two starts against the Nationals in 2018, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 2.84 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

The Nationals are sending righty Max Scherzer (2-4, 3.64 ERA) to the mound. Scherzer has 79 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Scherzer made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-0 record in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.69 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.20 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Washington hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .217/.272/.350 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles have led the Nationals’ hitters so far. Eaton is slashing .273/.337/.378 with three home runs, 11 RBIs, 24 runs and five stolen bases, while Robles has put up a line of .255/.302/.465 with eight homers, 17 RBIs, 29 runs and eight stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.19 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.90, along with a K/9 of 9.53.

The Cubs offense has slashed .252/.345/.442 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led Chicago’s offense. Baez is hitting .326/.360/.611 with 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Bryant is hitting .262/.397/.517 with eight homers, 26 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 4.8 units and are 17-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 4.4 units and are 3-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has cashed in just one of Chicago’s last seven contests.

The Cubs have a total OPS of .787 this season and an OPS of .801 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .711 overall and .683 against righties.

Washington has posted 16.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit seven over their last 10.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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