Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick 08/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-13

Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park. This NL showdown will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago to catch the game.

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (getting +115 odds) is the home-team underdog against Chicago and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). There’s a runline of Cubs -1.5 (+120) and Phillies +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.

The Phillies are 60-58 straight up (SU) and 53-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Cubs are 64-54 SU and have gone 57-61 against the spread. They’re down 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Neither side has been a strong over/under play this year. Phillies games have a 56-58-4 over/under record in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 55-54-9.

The left-handed Jose Quintana will get the start for the visiting Cubbies. Quintana is 10-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Jason Vargas (6-6, 4.09 ERA), who has 87 punchouts and 43 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Vargas is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.79 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Philadelphia’s hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .186/.291/.295 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies’ offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .283/.328/.400 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Segura is hitting .281 with 11 homers, 48 RBIs and 62 runs.

For the visitors, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.07 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, along with a K/9 of 8.82.

Cubs hitters have slashed .255/.336/.453 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant, who’ve collectively launched 51 home runs. Baez is slashing .289/.320/.553 with 28 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Bryant is hitting .292/.391/.532 with 23 homers, 58 RBIs and 86 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 5.3 units and are 10-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 8.7 units and are 11-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Cubs have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 10 over their last 10.

The Cubs have an OPS of .789 this season and an OPS of .735 against left-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .740 overall and .762 against lefties.

Chicago fielders have committed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.

The Phillies have lost five of their last six games SU.

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