Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins Free Pick 04/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-15

The Chicago Cubs are traveling south to take on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the action.

Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins Odds

Chicago (-125) is favored over Miami (+115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (+120) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-140).

The Cubs are 5-9 SU and have gone 5-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 6.0 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 4-12 SU and 7-8 ATS. The team has lost 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units ATS.

Miami games have an 8-6-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 9-4-1.

Yu Darvish will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. The right-handed Darvish is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 10.38 ERA and four strikeouts over four and one-third innings).

The Marlins are turning to righty Trevor Richards (0-1, 2.00 ERA), who has 18 punchouts and 10 walks, in addition to a 1.11 WHIP. Richards did not re a start against the Cubs in 2018.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.00 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 6.00, along with a K/9 of 9.88.

The Cubs offense has slashed .272/.361/.461 on its way to 6.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Javier Baez and right fielder Jason Heyward have led Chicago’s hitters. Baez is hitting .262/.297/.525 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Heyward (.375/.460/.700) is up to four homers, 10 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 5.43 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

Miami’s offense is putting up 2.9 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .209/.277/.320 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense so far. Castro is hitting .215/.250/.323 with 14 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .228/.323/.351 with 13 hits, three RBIs and three runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 6.4 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.5 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to five that’ve cashed the under.

Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.

Chicago has posted 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.

The Cubs have an OPS of .822 this season and an OPS of .852 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .631 overall and .594 against righties.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

Power LinesView all

(975) HOUSTON @ (976) CINCINNATI | 12:35 pm 6/19/2019

Play Line: CINCINNATI 170
BTB PowerLine: CINCINNATI +137

Edge On: CINCINNATI 33Bet Now
(965) BALTIMORE @ (966) OAKLAND | 3:37 pm 6/19/2019

Play Line: BALTIMORE 234
BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE +238

Edge On: BALTIMORE 27Bet Now
(951) MILWAUKEE @ (952) SAN DIEGO | 3:40 pm 6/19/2019

Play Line: MILWAUKEE -110
BTB PowerLine: MILWAUKEE -137

Edge On: MILWAUKEE 27Bet Now