Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 06/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-14

The Chicago Cubs will be taking the field against the Los Angeles Dodgers. This NL matchup will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and WGN will televise the game.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-140) is the favorite over Chicago (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Cubs +1.5 runs and +150 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Cubs are 38-30 SU and are 33-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 1.4 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 46-23 SU and 33-35 ATS. They’ve gained 11.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 32-33-3 so far in 2019. Cubs games have gone over 35 times, gone under 29 times and pushed on three occasions.

Right-hander Kyle Hendricks is getting the start for the visiting Cubs. Hendricks is 7-4 with a 3.00 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 20.25 ERA over 2.2 innings).

The Dodgers will turn to lefty Rich Hill (3-1, 2.40 ERA), who’s got 52 punchouts and 12 walks, along with a 1.16 WHIP. Hill only made one start against the Cubs in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.28, along with a K/9 of 9.05.

Cubs hitters have slashed .254/.344/.454 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who collectively have launched 34 home runs. Baez is slashing .296/.334/.567 with 17 home runs, 46 RBIs and 44 runs scored. Rizzo is hitting .280 with 17 homers, 47 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.84, a WHIP of 1.02 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .270/.349/.466 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Bellinger is slashing .358/.449/.704 with 22 home runs, 57 RBIs, 53 runs and seven stolen bases, while Turner’s line is .313/.398/.442 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 32 runs.

The Cubs have gained 2.8 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 12.7 units and are 26-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve cashed the under.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has cashed in six of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

Los Angeles has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.

Each team has hit 14 home runs over its last 10 games.

The Cubs have a total OPS of .798 this season and an OPS of .743 against left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS sits at .815 overall and .771 against southpaws.

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