Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 06/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

The Chicago Cubs will make a road trip to Los Angeles to play the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. This NL matchup begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on NSC+ and SNLA.

Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (+180) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-190). If you think this game’s total will go under 8 runs, then Vegas is offering -115 odds. Playing the over give you -105 odds. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -125 for the Cubs +1.5 runs and +105 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Dodgers are 45-23 straight up (SU) and 33-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.6 units ATS. The Cubs have gone 38-29 SU this year and are 32-34 against the spread. They’re up 1.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 2.6 units ATS.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 32-33-3 so far in 2019. Chicago has been a decent over bet with a total record of 35-28-3.

Left-hander Jon Lester will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. Lester is 5-4 with a 3.56 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers are turning to Clayton Kershaw (5-1, 3.00 ERA). Kershaw has 59 punchouts and 10 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.05. Kershaw has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.80 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).

Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.62 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.46 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.10.

The Cubs offense has slashed .254/.345/.454 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who have combined to belt 34 home runs. Baez is slashing .297/.336/.571 with 17 home runs, 46 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Rizzo is hitting .281 with 17 homers, 47 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 2.81 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters have put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .241/.320/.379 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is slashing .352/.445/.678 with 20 home runs, 54 RBIs, 51 runs and seven stolen bases, and Turner’s line is .315/.400/.446 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 31 runs.

The Cubs have gained 2.8 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to four that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 1.0 units and are 7-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.

Chicago has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

The Cubs have an OPS of .799 this season and an OPS of .741 against left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .810 overall and .753 against southpaws.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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Edge On: TAMPA BAY 77Bet Now
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