Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies Free Pick 06/11/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-11

Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs will take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on both ATRM and WGN.

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Chicago (-120) is entering this game as the favorite against Colorado (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 11.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). There’s a runline of Cubs -1.5 (+125) and Rockies +1.5 (-145) for this matchup.

The Rockies are 34-31 straight up (SU) and 35-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.6 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Cubs have gone 37-28 SU this year and are 31-33 ATS. They’re up 3.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 2.6 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 32-28-4 thus far in 2019. Chicago has been a decent over bet with a total record of 34-28-2.

The left-handed Jose Quintana will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. Quintana is 4-5 with a 3.77 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.68 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies are planning to start Peter Lambert (1-0, 1.29 ERA), who has nine strikeouts and one walks to his credit as well as a 0.71 WHIP. Lambert is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.64, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Colorado hitters have produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .215/.264/.368 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story have led the Rockies’ hitters this year. Arenado is slashing .329/.379/.605 with 17 home runs, 57 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Story’s line sits at .285/.353/.535 with 15 homers, 43 RBIs, 57 runs and 11 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.67 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

Cubs hitters have slashed .254/.344/.455 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who’ve collectively launched 33 home runs. Baez is slashing .298/.338/.570 with 16 home runs, 44 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Rizzo (.284/.396/.559) is up to 17 homers, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Rockies have gained 1.6 units and are 14-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Both teams have logged 15 extra-base hits over their last five games.

Chicago has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 10 over their last 10.

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