Last Updated: 2019-12-02
The Sacramento Kings (8-10) will attempt to prolong a five-game home winning streak when they take on the Chicago Bulls (6-14) at Golden 1 Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 210 points with Sacramento opening as a 5-point favorite. Action begins at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019, and it can be seen on NBATV.
Chicago Bulls vs. Sacramento Kings Odds Preview
The Bulls fell to the Portland Trail Blazers in their last outing, 107-103, but did cover as 7-point underdogs. With 28 points on 8-for-24 shooting, Zach LaVine was Chicago’s high scorer. Portland did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (21-28; 75.0 percent). Chicago, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 11.9). The two teams combined to put up 210 points, which finished well under the O/U total of 227.
In the Kings’ previous matchup, they just got past the Denver Nuggets, 100-97, as 4-point underdogs. Sacramento received a boost from Harrison Barnes, who was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 10-for-19 shooting. Sacramento dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (above their season average of 22.8) and a turnover percentage of 11.7 (better than their season average of 14.0). Denver put up marks of 19.6 and 14.3, respectively, for those same stats. Combined, the two clubs scored 197 points, which came in under the projected point total of 205.
It might be a mistake-prone game for the Sacramento offense. Sacramento ranks 26th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.2 percent), while the disruptive defense of Chicago forces the most turnovers in the NBA (17.3 percent).
Both of these teams tend to finish under the O/U total. Games including Chicago have finished under 55.0 percent of the time, while 72.2 percent of Sacramento games have finished under. The Kings hold a significant advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 8-10 SU and 12-6 ATS, while the Bulls are 6-14 SU and 8-12 ATS.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Bulls, it’s been LaVine, who has averaged 25 points,3.2 assists,1.6 steals, while the Kings have received solid contributions from Buddy Hield (22 points,4.0 assists).
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Kings won both matchups played against each other last season. In the last contest, Sacramento won 129-102. The Kings played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 8.3 and a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1. For those same stats, the Bulls put up marks of 16.3 and 23.3, respectively.
Chicago Bulls vs. Sacramento Kings Free Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
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The Bulls rank first in points off turnovers per game (21.9) while the Kings rank 20th (16.8).
Sacramento ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Chicago ranks 27th (7.0).
Chicago ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (47.7) while Sacramento ranks 29th (40.9).
Chicago is 4-6 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 5-3 ATS at home.
The total has gone under in 6 of the Bulls’ 10 road games, while 5 of the Kings’ 8 home games have gone under.
Sacramento is 4-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Chicago is 2-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Bulls are 6-8 and the Kings are 8-4.
The Bulls rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Kings rank 19th (12.6).
Chicago averages 9.8 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Sacramento ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
The Kings rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while the Bulls rank 29th (49.1).
The Kings rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (34.8) while the Bulls rank 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.2).
Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.6) while Chicago ranks 22nd (14.2).
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 5 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five outings, Chicago is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 3.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 102.2 points per game (3.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (1.5 above their season average).