At 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 19th, the Bears travel to take on the Lions. This NFL week 11 matchup will take place at Ford Field in Detroit with FOX carrying television coverage. The Lions are set as 9 point favorites at home in this NFC North showdown. Can they pull off a home win and cover the spread?


The Pick: Chicago Bears +9

This game will be played at Ford Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 19th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 22-19 in favor of the Lions.
  • Our projections have Justin Fields finishing with 160.187 passing yards on 14.507/24.46 passing.
  • The Lions are projected to finish with 337 yards of offense compared to the 305 yards for the Bears.

Are Chicago Ready for a Road Win?

As they take on the Lions, the Bears will be looking to build on their 3-7 record. This currently places them at 4th in the NFC-North and 13th in the NFC. Against the spread, the Bears have a record of 3-5-2. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -5.1.

The Bears come in with an average 20.4 points per game on offense, which has them 17th in the NFL. In terms of the passing game, Bears have an average 187.7 passing yards per game, placing them 24th in the league rankings. At present, 54.2% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

On a per-attempt basis, the Bears average 4.4 yards while carrying the ball an average of 30.2 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 4th in the league.

In terms of turnovers, the Chicago defense has nine takeaways, which is 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 25.5 points per game and 324.2 yards.

Does Detroit Have What it Takes at Home?

As the Lions face off against their division rival, they are 7-2 overall and have gone 1-0 in their one division game. Heading into week 11, the Lions are in 1st place in the NFC-North. When looking at how they have played at home, they are 3-1 so far this year. The current scoring margin for the Lions’ is +4.2, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 7-2.

On offense, the Lions have beenone of the better teams in the league in the first quarter, ranking 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 26.8 points per game (5th). So far this season, Detroit’s passing game is 6th in passing attempts. Their average of 267.4 passing yards per game places them 4th in the NFL rankings.

When it comes to rushing, the Lions are averaging 4.5 yards per attempt while running the ball an average of 30.6 times per game. At 139 rushing yards per contest, they are 3rd in the league.

When it comes to defense, the Lions have given up 231.6 passing yards and 79.1 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Detroit ranks 12th among other defenses. Coming into week 11, they have allowed 22.6 points per game and 310.7 yards.