Southeast Division foes will collide when the Atlanta Hawks (18-36) challenge the Charlotte Hornets (26-28) at State Farm Arena. Charlotte is a 2.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 230 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Carolina.
Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks Odds Preview
In the Hornets’ last matchup, they fell to the Dallas Mavericks, 99-93. They were not able to cover as 5-point underdogs. With 30 points on 10-for-22 shooting, Kemba Walker was the game’s leading scorer. Dallas held the Hornets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.0 (below their season average of 21.7). Charlotte, meanwhile, did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (12-17; 70.6 percent). The two teams combined to score 192 points, which was well under the O/U total of 215.5.
The Hawks were not able to cover as 7-point underdogs in their 119-101 loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup. With 12 points and 12 rebounds, John Collins put together a good performance for Atlanta. Toronto had a turnover percentage of 7.3 (better than their season average of 11.7). Atlanta, meanwhile, was lights out from beyond the arc (16-35; 45.7 percent). The two squads collectively scored 220 points, which was under the O/U total of 232.5.
It will be a showdown of conflicting styles as the up-tempo Hawks will look to push the more grind-it-out Hornets. The Hawks rank first in possessions per game while the Hornets are 17th.
Of Charlotte’s 54 games, 29 have finished over the O/U total, while 30 of Atlanta’s 54 games have finished over the projected point total. The Hornets have the sizable advantage straight up (SU) (26-28 vs. 18-36) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (26-27-1 vs. 24-30).
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Hornets, it’s been Walker, who has averaged 25 points,6.0 assists, while the Hawks have gotten solid contributions from Trae Young (23 points,8.6 assists).
These two teams have met three times already this season, with the Hornets winning two. In the most recent contest, Walker had 19 points and the Hornets beat the Hawks 108-94, covering as 12-point favorites. The two teams combined for 202 points, which was 28 points below the projected point total of 230 points. The Hornets played a nearly flawless game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.337 and a turnover percentage of 12.4. For those same stats, the Hawks were 0.204 and 15.6, respectively.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds Prediction
The Hawks average 25.5 assists per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Hornets rank 24th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
Charlotte ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (14.2) while Atlanta ranks last (18.0).
Atlanta ranks 16th in blocked shots (5.1 per game) while Charlotte ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.5).
Atlanta ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (51.5) while Charlotte ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.1).
Atlanta is 7-15 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 11-15 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 12 of the Hawks’ 22 home games, while 15 of the Hornets’ 26 road games have gone over.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Charlotte is 10-1 and Atlanta is 3-2.
The Hornets are 25-20 when they score above 100 points, while the Hawks are 17-29.
The Hornets rank 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6) while the Hawks rank 28th (14.6).
Charlotte ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while Atlanta ranks last (22.8).
The Hornets rank sixth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while the Hawks rank 29th (10.5).
The Hawks average 45.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Hornets rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
Atlanta averages 34.9 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (32.9).
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 7.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (0.7 below their season average).