Planning on watching today’s Bears and Ospreys game? Catch the action at UNF Arena in Jacksonville, FL, as the Ospreys hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Atlantic Sun conference contest is set at 151.5 points, with North Florida being favored by -11.5 at home against Central Arkansas.


The Pick: North Florida Ospreys -11.5

This game will be played at UNF Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-65 in favor of the Ospreys.
  • Not only will North Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Central Arkansas Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Central Arkansas heads into today’s game against North Florida as an underdog, as they have been in 22 of their 26 games this season. The Bears are coming off a 59-55 loss to Jacksonville, which was their second straight defeat. So far this year, Central Arkansas has gone 8-18, including a 4-13 mark in non-conference games.

On the road, the Bears have gone 3-11, and their average scoring margin in those games is -13.6. Over their last 10 games away from home, Central Arkansas has gone 3-7, and they are currently on a three-game road losing streak.

As the underdog this season, Central Arkansas has a solid ATS record of 12-9-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-6, including a 1-2 mark in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Central Arkansas games is 10-12-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 150.3 points, which is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 151.7 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 129 points.

In their most recent game, the Central Arkansas offense put up just 55 points vs. the Jacksonville Dolphins. Overall, they are now averaging 71.9 points per game which is 275th in the country. Javion Guy-King was the leading scorer for the Bears, putting up 16 points. In addition, Tucker Anderson contributed 12 points.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 288th in the country, permitting 77.6 points per game. Central Arkansas will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Jacksonville to just 38% shooting in their most recent game.

Will the Ospreys Win at Home?

North Florida will look to bounce back from a close loss to North Alabama, as they are 7-3 at home this season. For the year, they are 13-12 compared to their 6-3 conference record.

On the year, the Ospreys have been favored in eight of their 25 games, going 5-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +4.1 compared to -8.7 on the road.

North Florida has an ATS record of 12-8-1 this season and they are 6-4 at home vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ospreys have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread.

North Florida’s over/under record this season sits at 10-10-1 and the average over/under line in their games is 152. So far, 10 of their games have had higher point totals than today’s line of 151.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 166 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

The North Florida offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against North Alabama. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.5% and connected on 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Chaz Lanier, who is averaging 19.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dorian James also maintains a PPG average of 10.4 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the North Florida defense is giving up an average of 75.5 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Central Arkansas, the North Florida defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Florida made 23 free-throws vs. the Ospreys.