Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Knights. The game is starting at 6:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Knights at Freedom Hall in Louisville, KY. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 141.5 points, and Bellarmine is favored by -4.5 to win at home against Central Arkansas.


The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +4.5

This game will be played at Freedom Hall at 6:30 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Central Arkansas?

Central Arkansas, who have played 29 games so far, have a record of 9-20. In away games, the Bears are 4-11, while at home they are 3-9. Regarding ATS, Central Arkansas has accumulated a record of 13-13-1 thus far in the year. In their last ten games this season, Central Arkansas holds a 2-3 vs. the spread.

In 29 games, Central Arkansas comes in with an over/under mark of 12-14-1, with their games averaging 149.9 points per game. When looking at the Bears’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 150 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the Central Arkansas offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Lipscomb. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.3%, and they made 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Tucker Anderson, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.8, while Elias Cato also maintains a PPG average of 11.2 leading up to the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Central Arkansas defense is giving up an average of 77.8 points per contest. The Central Arkansas defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 85 points and allowed Lipscomb to connect on 10 threes.

Do the Knights Stand a Chance at Home?

So far this season, Bellarmine has a record of 6-21. In their 28th game of the season, the Knights have gone 2-14 on the road and 1-7 at home. Bellarmine has a subpar ATS record, currently sitting below .500 at 6-17-1. This includes a 5-10-1 mark on the road vs. the spread and a 1-7 record at home.

Bellarmine comes in with an over/under record of 12-12-0 through 27 games, with their games averaging a combined 142.3 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Knights’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 138 points per game.

The Bellarmine offense is coming off a game where they scored 65 points against Eastern Kentucky. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.1% and connected on 6 threes. Ben Johnson is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Garrett Tipton brings a PPG average of 10.3 into the game.

At this time, the Knights’ defense is positioned 230th in the country, permitting 74.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Bellarmine’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.9% this season.