The Bears and Knights are set to face off at 6:30 ET on ESPN+. The Knights will host the game at Freedom Hall in Louisville, KY. The over/under for this game is set at 141.5 points, and Bellarmine is favored by -4.5 vs. Central Arkansas in a Atlantic Sun conference matchup.


The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +4.5

This game will be played at Freedom Hall at 6:30 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Can Central Arkansas Grab a Win on the Road?

Central Arkansas enters today’s contest with a 9-20 record overall. The Bears have struggled on the road, going 4-11, and have also struggled at home, posting a 3-9 record. Thus far, Central Arkansas has a 13-13-1 record vs. the spread. When playing away games, the Bears have gone 9-6 vs. the spread, while at home they are 4-7-1 ATS.

After 29 games, Central Arkansas has an over/under record of 12-14-1, with their games averaging a combined 149.9 points per game so far. In the Bears’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 140 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-3.

The Central Arkansas offense is coming off a game where they scored 68 points against Lipscomb. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.3% and connected on 10 threes. Daniel Sofield was the leading scorer for the Bears, putting up 20 points. In addition, Elias Cato contributed 12 points.

Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 294th rank in the nation, allowing 77.8 points per game. Against Lipscomb, the Bears’ defense gave up 85 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Lipscomb only made 6 free-throws.

Can the Bellarmine Offense Score Enough at Home?

Bellarmine will be playing today against Central Arkansas with a record of 6-21. In their last ten home games, including those from last year, Bellarmine has a record of 4-6. As of now, Bellarmine’s ATS record is below .500 at 6-17-1. Specifically, the Knights have gone 5-10-1 vs. the spread on the road and are 1-7 at home.

Up to this point, games involving Bellarmine have had an average of 142.3 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 141.3 points. Their over/under record is 12-12-0. The Knights have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 138 points per game.

In their previous game, the Knights’ offense finished with 65 points, which is right in line with their current average of 68.2 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Ben Johnson, who is averaging 12.7 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Garrett Tipton also maintains a PPG average of 10.3 heading into game.

Coming into today’s game, the Bellarmine defense is giving up an average of 74.3 points per contest. Bellarmine will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Eastern Kentucky to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.