The Bears and Knights are set to face off at 6:30 ET on ESPN+. The Knights will host the game at Freedom Hall in Louisville, KY. This Atlantic Sun conference matchup has an over/under of 141.5 points, and Bellarmine is favored to win by -4.5 at home vs. Central Arkansas.


The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +4.5

This game will be played at Freedom Hall at 6:30 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Can Central Arkansas Secure a Road Victory?

The Bears of Central Arkansas will be competing in their 30th game of the season, with a 9-20 record. When playing away from home, the Bears have a 4-11 record, while at home they are 3-9. As of today’s game, Central Arkansas has a record of 13-13-1 against the spread this season. In their last ten games, Central Arkansas is 2-3 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 29 games, Central Arkansas has an over/under record of 12-14-1, with their games averaging 149.9 points per game on average. In their most recent three games, the Bears’ over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 150 points per game.

The Bears’ offense wrapped up their last game with 68 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 71.9 points per contest. Daniel Sofield led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Elias Cato contributed 12 points for the Bears.

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 294th nationally, allowing an average of 77.8 points per contest. Against Lipscomb, the Bears’ defense gave up 85 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Lipscomb only made 6 free-throws.

Will the Knights Defense Show Up at Home?

Today, Bellarmine will face Central Arkansas for their 28th game of the year. The Knights are currently 6-21. This season, all of their games have been away from home. Bellarmine has a sub-.500 record vs. the spread with a current mark of 6-17-1. In road games, the Knights are 5-10-1 ATS, while at home they are 1-7 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Bellarmine have had an average of 142.3 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 141.3 points. Their over/under record is 12-12-0. The Knights have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 138 points per game.

The Bellarmine offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 65 points versus Eastern Kentucky. During the game, they attempted 19 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 39.1%. The top scorer for the Knights was Bash Wieland with 19 points, while Langdon Hatton also added 12 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Knights’ defense is nationally ranked 230th, allowing 74.3 points per game. Bellarmine will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Eastern Kentucky to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.