Looking to win big? The Aces and Knights face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Knights are hosting the game at Freedom Hall in Louisville, KY. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with the Knights being the favored team playing at home against the Aces.

EVANSVILLE ACES VS BELLARMINE KNIGHTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Evansville Aces +3

This game will be played at Freedom Hall at 4:00 ET on Saturday, December 16th.

WHY BET THE EVANSVILLE ACES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-66 in favor of the Aces.
  • Not only will Evansville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

After nine games, Evansville has a record of 7-2. When playing away from home, the Aces have a record of 3-2, while they are undefeated at home, going 3-0. As of now, Evansville’s record vs. the spread is 6-2 heading into today’s matchup. When playing away from home, the Aces are 3-2 vs. the spread, while they hold a perfect 3-0 ATS record at home.

Looking at their over/under performance through nine games, Evansville has an over/under record of 4-4-0, with their games averaging 152.6 points per game on average. When analyzing the Aces’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 165 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The Evansville offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 55 points versus BYU. During the game, they attempted 29 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 33.3%. The team’s scoring leader is Ben Humrichous, who holds an average of 17.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Antonio Thomas is averaging 9.6 points per game this season.

Currently, the Aces’ defense holds the 98th rank in the nation, allowing 68.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.0 threes per game vs. Bellarmine. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.8%.

Is a Home Win Possible for Bellarmine?

Bellarmine will be playing their 12th game of the season and currently have a 4-7 record. In their last three home games, including one from last year, Bellarmine has a perfect 3-0 record. As of today’s game, Bellarmine has a 3-4-1 record against the spread. Looking at their performance in the team’s previous five games, they are 1-1-1 vs. the spread.

Bellarmine’s games have, on average, featured 136.9 points per game leading to an over/under record of 4-4-0. Their average over/under line is currently 138.3 points so far. The Knights have an over/under record of 0-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 141 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 70.8 points per game, the Bellarmine had a below average performance. They scored 58 points against Ball State and had a field goal percentage of 41.8%. Peter Suder is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 12.1. Meanwhile, Bash Wieland also brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.

So far this season, the Bellarmine defense has been performing well, ranking 94th in the country at 68.0 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Bellarmine’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 23.8% this season.